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南澳大利亚农村地区的先天性畸形与母亲饮用水供应:一项病例对照研究。

Congenital malformations and maternal drinking water supply in rural South Australia: a case-control study.

作者信息

Dorsch M M, Scragg R K, McMichael A J, Baghurst P A, Dyer K F

出版信息

Am J Epidemiol. 1984 Apr;119(4):473-86. doi: 10.1093/oxfordjournals.aje.a113764.

DOI:10.1093/oxfordjournals.aje.a113764
PMID:6711537
Abstract

A case-control study, carried out in the Mount Gambier region of South Australia, investigated the relationship between mothers' antenatal drinking water source and malformations in offspring. It was prompted by earlier descriptive findings of a statistically significant, and localized, increase in the perinatal mortality rate in Mount Gambier, due principally to congenital malformations affecting the central nervous system and multiple organ systems. Available for statistical analysis were 218 case-control pairs, from the period 1951-1979, individually matched by hospital, maternal age (+/- 2 years), parity and date of birth (+/- 1 month). Compared with women who drank only rainwater during their pregnancy (relative risk (RR) = 1.0), women who consumed principally groundwater had a statistically significant increase in risk of bearing a malformed child (RR = 2.8). Statistically significant risk increases occurred specifically for malformations of the central nervous system and musculoskeletal system. Reanalysis of the data by estimated water nitrate concentration demonstrated a nearly threefold increase in risk for women who drank water containing 5-15 ppm of nitrate, and a fourfold increase in risk for those consuming greater than 15 ppm of nitrate. A seasonal gradient in risk was evident among groundwater consumers, ranging from 0.9 for babies conceived in winter, 3.0 in autumn, to 7.0 and 6.3 for spring and summer conceptions, respectively. Linear logistic regression analysis, controlling for risk factors not accounted for in the study design, showed that maternal water supply, infant's sex, and mother's area of residence all contributed significantly to the risk of malformation. These results are discussed in relation to previous experimental and human descriptive studies, suggesting a plausible mechanism for nitrate-induced teratogenesis.

摘要

在南澳大利亚的芒特甘比尔地区开展了一项病例对照研究,调查母亲产前饮用水源与后代畸形之间的关系。该研究是由芒特甘比尔地区围产期死亡率在统计学上显著且局部性上升的早期描述性结果引发的,主要原因是影响中枢神经系统和多器官系统的先天性畸形。可供统计分析的是1951年至1979年期间的218对病例对照,按医院、母亲年龄(±2岁)、产次和出生日期(±1个月)进行个体匹配。与孕期只饮用雨水的女性相比(相对风险(RR)=1.0),主要饮用地下水的女性生育畸形儿的风险在统计学上显著增加(RR = 2.8)。中枢神经系统和肌肉骨骼系统畸形的风险在统计学上有显著增加。通过估计的水中硝酸盐浓度对数据进行重新分析表明,饮用含5 - 15 ppm硝酸盐的水的女性风险增加近三倍,饮用硝酸盐含量大于15 ppm的水的女性风险增加四倍。在饮用地下水的人群中,风险存在明显的季节性梯度,冬季受孕婴儿的风险为0.9,秋季为3.0,春季和夏季受孕婴儿的风险分别为7.0和6.3。在控制研究设计中未考虑的风险因素的线性逻辑回归分析表明,母亲的供水情况、婴儿性别和母亲居住地区均对畸形风险有显著影响。结合之前的实验和人类描述性研究对这些结果进行了讨论,提出了硝酸盐诱导致畸的一种可能机制。

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