Eik-Nes S H, Persson P H, Gröttum P, Marsál K
Acta Obstet Gynecol Scand. 1983;62(2):117-23. doi: 10.3109/00016348309155774.
A previously developed mathematical formula for prediction of fetal growth deviation at birth by means of ultrasonic fetometry was applied to 505 unselected singleton pregnancies. The gestational age was assessed by measuring the fetal biparietal diameter (BPD) in the 17th week of pregnancy. In the 33rd and 38th week of pregnancy, BPD and the abdominal diameters (AD) were measured. In detecting fetuses small-for-gestational age (SGA) in the 33rd week, the ultrasonic diagnostic test had a nosological sensitivity of 77% and a nosological specificity of 78%. The nosological sensitivity and specificity for detecting fetuses large-for-gestational age (LGA) were 75% and 82%, respectively. The result was not improved significantly when the formula was applied to the total group in the 38th week. At the 33rd week examination risk groups with high prevalence of SGA and LGA fetuses were identified. When these groups were submitted to an additional examination in the 38th week, the prevalence of SGA and LGA fetuses in the new risk groups increased to 50%. At the 33rd week examination the predictive value of a negative test for SGA and LGA was 98%. Thus, the procedure described is well suited for general screening of pregnant women with ultrasound, and, combined with other biochemical and biophysical tests, makes possible a close clinical surveillance of the fetus at risk.
一种先前开发的通过超声测量预测出生时胎儿生长偏差的数学公式应用于505例未经选择的单胎妊娠。通过测量妊娠第17周时胎儿的双顶径(BPD)来评估孕周。在妊娠第33周和第38周时,测量双顶径和腹径(AD)。在检测第33周时小于胎龄(SGA)的胎儿时,超声诊断试验的疾病敏感性为77%,疾病特异性为78%。检测大于胎龄(LGA)胎儿的疾病敏感性和特异性分别为75%和82%。当该公式应用于第38周的全组时,结果没有显著改善。在第33周检查时,识别出SGA和LGA胎儿患病率高的风险组。当这些组在第38周接受额外检查时,新风险组中SGA和LGA胎儿的患病率增加到50%。在第33周检查时,SGA和LGA阴性试验的预测值为98%。因此,所述程序非常适合用超声对孕妇进行常规筛查,并且与其他生化和生物物理检查相结合,可以对有风险的胎儿进行密切的临床监测。