Rushton L, Alderson M R
Br J Ind Med. 1983 Aug;40(3):330-9. doi: 10.1136/oem.40.3.330.
A mortality study of workers employed for at least one year between 1 January 1950 and 31 December 1975 at oil distribution centres from three oil companies in Britain has been carried out. Ninety nine per cent of the population were successfully traced to determine their vital status at 31 December 1975. The mortality observed in the study population was compared with that which would be expected from the mortality rates for all the male population of England and Wales. The overall mortality observed was considerably lower than expected on this basis as was the mortality from stroke, hypertensive disease, bronchitis, and pneumonia. The observed number of deaths from all neoplasms was also much less than expected as were the observed deaths from lung cancer. The observed deaths from ischaemic heart disease approximately equalled those expected overall and in each of the companies, however, and there was no evidence of a "healthy worker effect" for this disease group. The ratio of observed over expected deaths from ischaemic heart disease tended to decrease with increasing age at death, and for most of the job groups overall, the observed and expected deaths were about the same. Raised mortality patterns from ischaemic heart disease were found in several subgroups of the population of one company. Mortality from myelofibrosis and diseases of the lymphatic and haematopoietic tissue was slightly raised overall. Only myelofibrosis showed an overall excess but raised mortality was found in subgroups of the population defined by company, job, and length of service in several of the other neoplasms making up this disease group. The numbers of deaths from these causes were all small, making it difficult to exclude chance effects. Further work would be required to ascertain whether these results are due to an occupational factor and if so to identify the physical or chemical nature of the risk.
对1950年1月1日至1975年12月31日期间在英国三家石油公司的石油配送中心工作至少一年的工人进行了一项死亡率研究。99%的人口被成功追踪,以确定他们在1975年12月31日的生命状态。将研究人群中观察到的死亡率与英格兰和威尔士所有男性人口的死亡率预期进行了比较。在此基础上,观察到的总体死亡率大大低于预期,中风、高血压疾病、支气管炎和肺炎的死亡率也是如此。观察到的所有肿瘤死亡人数也远低于预期,肺癌的观察死亡人数也是如此。然而,缺血性心脏病的观察死亡人数总体上与预期人数大致相等,且在每家公司中都是如此,没有证据表明该疾病组存在“健康工人效应”。缺血性心脏病观察死亡与预期死亡的比率往往随着死亡年龄的增加而降低,总体而言,大多数工作群体的观察死亡人数和预期死亡人数大致相同。在一家公司的几个亚人群体中发现了缺血性心脏病死亡率升高的模式。骨髓纤维化以及淋巴和造血组织疾病的总体死亡率略有升高。只有骨髓纤维化显示出总体超额,但在由公司、工作和服务年限定义的亚人群体中,发现构成该疾病组的其他几种肿瘤的死亡率有所升高。这些原因导致的死亡人数都很少,难以排除偶然因素的影响。需要进一步开展工作,以确定这些结果是否归因于职业因素,如果是,则确定风险的物理或化学性质。