Beck J R, Pauker S G, Gottlieb J E, Klein K, Kassirer J P
Am J Med. 1982 Dec;73(6):889-97. doi: 10.1016/0002-9343(82)90787-2.
We show how to use a bedside approximation of life expectancy in quantitative decision-making. This method, the declining exponential approximation of life expectancy (DEALE), enables the physician to collate various survival data with information on morbidity to determine a quality-adjusted expected survival for a potential management plan. The keystone in the DEALE approach is the approximation of survival by a simple exponential function. This approximation makes it possible to translate data from various literature sources (life expectancy tables, five-year survival rates, survival curves, median survival) into a single, unified mortality scale. In this paper, we use the DEALE method to obtain approximations of quality-adjusted life expectancy and illustrate the application of the method in a quantitative analysis of a clinical decision.
我们展示了如何在定量决策中使用预期寿命的床边近似值。这种方法,即预期寿命的递减指数近似法(DEALE),使医生能够将各种生存数据与发病率信息进行整理,以确定潜在管理计划的质量调整预期生存期。DEALE方法的关键在于通过一个简单的指数函数来近似生存期。这种近似使得将来自各种文献来源的数据(预期寿命表、五年生存率、生存曲线、中位生存期)转化为单一、统一的死亡率量表成为可能。在本文中,我们使用DEALE方法来获得质量调整预期寿命的近似值,并说明该方法在临床决策定量分析中的应用。