Khan M A, Khan M K
Ann Intern Med. 1982 Jan;96(1):70-6. doi: 10.7326/0003-4819-96-1-70.
Typing for histocompatibility antigen (HLA)-B27 has been suggested as a clinically valuable diagnostic test for ankylosing spondylitis and Reiter's syndrome, although some decry its use for this purpose. Diagnoses can be made in most patients with these diseases on the basis of the history, physical examination, and roentgenographic findings. The B27 test cannot be used to screen an asymptomatic population to detect these diseases and should not be thought of as a routine diagnostic test. We present probability graphs derived from Bayes' theorem, which show that for certain patients the B27 test, when used properly, is of clinical value as an aid to diagnosis. Proper application of the B27 test in clinical medicine is discussed. The test result does not absolutely confirm or exclude the presence of these diseases; it merely provides a probability statement on their existence in the patient. The test is therefore most useful to physicians who understand the use of probability reasoning in clinical decision making.
尽管有人反对将组织相容性抗原(HLA)-B27分型用于此目的,但它仍被认为是强直性脊柱炎和赖特综合征临床上有价值的诊断试验。大多数患有这些疾病的患者可根据病史、体格检查和X线检查结果做出诊断。B27检测不能用于对无症状人群进行筛查以检测这些疾病,也不应被视为常规诊断试验。我们展示了根据贝叶斯定理得出的概率图,该图表明对于某些患者,B27检测若使用得当,作为辅助诊断具有临床价值。本文讨论了B27检测在临床医学中的正确应用。检测结果并不能绝对证实或排除这些疾病的存在;它只是提供了关于这些疾病在患者身上存在的概率表述。因此,该检测对理解概率推理在临床决策中应用的医生最为有用。