Zachmann M, Sobradillo B, Frank M, Frisch H, Prader A
J Pediatr. 1978 Nov;93(5):749-55. doi: 10.1016/s0022-3476(78)81071-3.
Bayley-Pinneau, Roche-Wainer-Thissen, and Tanner height predictions at various chronologic ages were compared with final adult height in 56 normal subjects and in 34 patients with abnormal growth pattern (11 with familial tall stature, 7 with idiopathic precicious puberty, 6 with Turner syndrome, and 10 with primordial small stature or Silver-Russell syndrome). The two recent methods (Roche-Wainer-Thissen and Tanner) gave very accurate results and were superior to the Bayley-Pinneau method in normal subjects and in patients with familial tall stature. However, they overestimated adult height grossly in precocious puberty and moderately in Turner syndrome and in primordial small stature. It is concluded that calculations based on coefficients and regression equations obtained from normal children (as in the Roche-Wainer-Thissen and Tanner methods) can only be used in normal children or in patients with normal growth potential under adequate treatment. Calculations based on percentages of adult height (as in the Bayley-Pinneau method) are preferable in conditions in which the growth potential in relation to bone maturation is inherently reduced and cannot be corrected by treatment.
在56名正常受试者以及34名生长模式异常的患者(11名家族性高身材、7名特发性性早熟、6名特纳综合征以及10名原发性身材矮小或Silver-Russell综合征患者)中,比较了不同年龄时的贝利-皮诺、罗氏-韦纳-蒂森和坦纳身高预测值与最终成人身高。最近的两种方法(罗氏-韦纳-蒂森法和坦纳法)得出了非常准确的结果,并且在正常受试者和家族性高身材患者中优于贝利-皮诺法。然而,它们在性早熟患者中严重高估了成人身高,在特纳综合征和原发性身材矮小患者中则中度高估。结论是,基于从正常儿童获得的系数和回归方程的计算方法(如罗氏-韦纳-蒂森法和坦纳法)仅适用于正常儿童或在适当治疗下具有正常生长潜力的患者。在与骨成熟相关的生长潜力固有降低且无法通过治疗纠正的情况下,基于成人身高百分比的计算方法(如贝利-皮诺法)更可取。