Robertson L S, Zador P L
Am J Public Health. 1978 Oct;68(10):959-65. doi: 10.2105/ajph.68.10.959.
Fatal crash involvement of teenagers per licensed driver and per population in 27 states was related to the proportions of teenagers who received high school driver education. Among 16--17 year olds, driver education was associated with a great increase in the number of licensed drivers, without a decrease in the fatal crash involvement per 10,000 licensed drivers- About 80 per cent of the 16--17 year olds who took high school driver education obtained licenses that they would not otherwise have obtained until age 18 or thereafter. The net effect is much higher death involvement rates per 10,000 population, on average, in states with greater proportions of 16-17 year olds receiving high school driver education. The data suggest that most teenagers would obtain licenses when they are 18--19 years old, irrespective of high school driver education, and indicate that differences among the states in fatal crash involvement rates per 10,000 licensed 18--19 year old drivers were not significantly related to either high school driver education or delayed licensure.
27个州中,每百名持照驾驶员以及每单位人口中青少年致命撞车事故的发生率与接受高中驾驶员教育的青少年比例有关。在16至17岁的青少年中,驾驶员教育与持照驾驶员数量的大幅增加相关,而每万名持照驾驶员的致命撞车事故发生率并未下降。接受高中驾驶员教育的16至17岁青少年中,约80%获得了驾照,否则他们要到18岁或更晚才能拿到驾照。平均而言,在16至17岁接受高中驾驶员教育比例较高的州,每万人口的死亡事故发生率要高得多。数据表明,大多数青少年无论是否接受高中驾驶员教育,都会在18至19岁时获得驾照,并且表明每万名18至19岁持照驾驶员的致命撞车事故发生率在各州之间的差异与高中驾驶员教育或延迟发证均无显著关联。