Zlotnik H, Hill K
Demography. 1981 Feb;18(1):103-22.
The indirect methods of demographic estimation available to date are often inadequate to estimate levels in the presence of trends. The use of measures relative to hypothetical cohorts to minimize the effects of trends and estimate period levels is described. Procedures allowing the estimation of inter-survey levels of fertility, child mortality and adult mortality are illustrated using data from Thailand and Peru.
目前可用的人口统计学间接估计方法往往不足以在存在趋势的情况下估计水平。本文描述了使用相对于假设队列的指标来尽量减少趋势影响并估计时期水平的方法。利用泰国和秘鲁的数据说明了估计生育、儿童死亡率和成人死亡率调查间水平的程序。