MacDonald M M, Rindfuss R R
Demography. 1981 May;18(2):123-36.
The probability of first marriage for men who graduated from Wisconsin high schools in 1957 was analyzed with respect to their Social Security earnings records, Wisconsin income tax reports for parents, and other variables. The findings provide no support for Easterlin's hypothesis that marriage will occur earlier when young men judge their economic prospects favorably with respect to their parents' income. However, young men's earnings and time spent in schooling to increase them were found to be important influences on marriage timing. Additional schooling had little effect net of the time it absorbed.
针对1957年毕业于威斯康星州高中的男性的首次结婚概率,依据他们的社会保障收入记录、父母的威斯康星州所得税报告以及其他变量进行了分析。研究结果并不支持伊斯特林的假设,即当年轻男性认为自己相对于父母收入的经济前景良好时,结婚时间会更早。然而,发现年轻男性的收入以及为提高收入而花费在上学上的时间是结婚时间的重要影响因素。扣除所花费的时间后,额外的教育几乎没有效果。