McNeil B J, Weichselbaum R, Pauker S G
N Engl J Med. 1981 Oct 22;305(17):982-7. doi: 10.1056/NEJM198110223051704.
In State T3 carcinoma of the larynx (carcinoma restricted to the vocal cords, causing complete immobility of the cords but not extending to adjacent structures), laryngectomy leads to a three-year survival rate of approximately 60 per cent and the loss of normal speech. Radiation therapy, on the other hand, leads to a lower survival (30 to 40 per cent at three years) but preserves normal or nearly normal speech. We investigated attitudes toward the quantity and quality of life in 37 healthy volunteers, interviewing 12 firefighters and 25 middle and upper management executives to determine their preferences for longevity and voice preservation. We used the principles of expected utility theory to develop a method for sharpening decisions involving tradeoffs between quantity and quality of life. Our analysis indicates that to maintain their voices, approximately 20 per cent of volunteers would choose radiation instead of surgery. These results suggest that treatment choices should be made on the basis of patients' attitudes toward the quality as well as the quantity of survival.
在T3期喉癌(癌肿局限于声带,导致声带完全固定但未扩展至相邻结构)中,喉切除术可带来约60%的三年生存率,但会丧失正常发声能力。另一方面,放射治疗的生存率较低(三年时为30%至40%),但能保留正常或接近正常的发声能力。我们调查了37名健康志愿者对生活质量和数量的态度,采访了12名消防员以及25名中高层管理人员,以确定他们对长寿和保留嗓音的偏好。我们运用期望效用理论的原则,开发了一种方法来优化涉及生活质量和数量权衡取舍的决策过程。我们的分析表明,为了保留嗓音,约20%的志愿者会选择放射治疗而非手术治疗。这些结果表明,治疗选择应基于患者对生存质量以及生存数量的态度来做出。