Bain C, Willett W, Rosner B, Speizer F E, Belanger C, Hennekens C H
Am J Epidemiol. 1981 Nov;114(5):705-9. doi: 10.1093/oxfordjournals.aje.a113241.
The relationship between age at birth of a first child and breast cancer was evaluated for 1159 affected women and 11,590 women without cancer in data collected in 1976 among married female registered nurses residing in 11 states in the United States. A positive trend of increasing risk of breast cancer with later ages at first birth was found (chi 2(1) for trend in proportions = 30.9, p less than 0.01). Adjustment for potential confounding variables by multiple logistic regression did not affect this trend. The presence of this relationship using non-hospitalized controls of similar social status to cases supports the reality of this association, which has recently been challenged as an artifact due to inappropriate choice of hospitalized controls.
在美国11个州的已婚注册女护士中收集的数据里,对1159名患乳腺癌的女性和11590名未患癌症的女性,评估了头胎生育年龄与乳腺癌之间的关系。研究发现,随着头胎生育年龄增大,患乳腺癌的风险呈上升趋势(比例趋势的卡方检验χ2(1)=30.9,p<0.01)。通过多因素逻辑回归对潜在混杂变量进行调整后,这一趋势并未改变。使用与病例具有相似社会地位的非住院对照来验证这种关系的存在,支持了这种关联的真实性,这种关联最近因选择住院对照不当而被质疑是一种假象。