Scherz R G
Pediatrics. 1981 Oct;68(4):572-5.
During the decade beginning Jan 1, 1970 and ending Dec 31, 1979, approximately 39,500 child passengers aged 0 to 4 years were in motor vehicle accidents reported and investigated in the State of Washington: 148 (0.4%) of the children were killed outright or subsequently died. Of the 39,500 children, approximately 6,300, or 16%, were wearing some type of safety restraint and only two, or 1:3,150, were killed. On the other hand, 33,200 were not wearing restraints and 146, or 1:227, were killed. If these ratios are extrapolated, one might conclude that if all the children had been wearing restraints, there would have been 93% fewer deaths. A detailed analysis was performed on 39 fatalities for the years 1977, 1978, and 1979. Fatal accidents involving young children in Washington State usually occurred under ordinary circumstances on dry roads at low speeds during daylight hours and were unrelated to alcohol usage.
在始于1970年1月1日并于1979年12月31日结束的十年间，华盛顿州报告并调查了约39,500名年龄在0至4岁的儿童乘客遭遇的机动车事故：其中148名儿童（0.4%）当场死亡或随后死亡。在这39,500名儿童中，约6,300名（16%）系着某种类型的安全约束装置，仅有两名儿童（即1:3,150）死亡。另一方面，33,200名儿童未系安全约束装置，其中146名（即1:227）死亡。如果将这些比例外推，人们可能会得出结论：如果所有儿童都系着安全约束装置，死亡人数将会减少93%。对1977年、1978年和1979年的39起死亡事故进行了详细分析。华盛顿州涉及幼儿的致命事故通常发生在白天干燥道路上的普通情况下，车速较低，且与酒精使用无关。
