Czeizel A
Acta Paediatr Acad Sci Hung. 1978;19(3):225-38.
The Hungarian Congenital Malformation Monitor has been operating since 1973 in order to detect the temporal and regional clusters of 12 indicator congenital malformations as early as possible. This Monitor takes part in the International Clearinghouse for Birth Defects Monitoring System. Three continuously increasing trends were detected in 1973--1976. They may be connected with the more complete notifications, although the increase of limb reduction deformities are only partly explained by this factor. Transitional (quarterly) significant clusters were observed in the case of anencephaly (1974, IV), spina bifida (1974, II; and 1975, III; 1976, III), cleft lip +/- cleft palate (1974, III). The possibility of three technical biases (changes in diagnosis, notification and evaluation of the given congenital malformation) has to be excluded before accepting the fact of a real epidemic. Subsequently, a case-control epidemiological study by personal interviews and with matched controls has to be performed.
匈牙利先天性畸形监测机构自1973年起开始运作,目的是尽早发现12种指示性先天性畸形的时间和地区聚集情况。该监测机构参与了国际出生缺陷监测系统信息交换中心的工作。1973年至1976年期间发现了三种持续上升的趋势。它们可能与报告更加完整有关,尽管肢体减少畸形的增加仅部分可由此因素解释。在无脑儿(1974年第四季度)、脊柱裂(1974年第二季度;1975年第三季度;1976年第三季度)、唇裂±腭裂(1974年第三季度)病例中观察到了过渡性(按季度)显著聚集情况。在接受真正流行这一事实之前,必须排除三种技术偏差(特定先天性畸形的诊断、报告和评估方面的变化)的可能性。随后,必须通过个人访谈并与匹配的对照组进行病例对照流行病学研究。