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瑞士职业司机肺癌死亡率研究:采用多变量方法计算与吸烟相关的比例。

A mortality study of lung cancer among swiss professional drivers: accounting for the smoking related fraction by a multivariate approach.

作者信息

Pfluger D H, Minder C E

机构信息

Dept. of Social- and Preventive Medicine, University of Berne.

出版信息

Soz Praventivmed. 1994;39(6):372-8. doi: 10.1007/BF01299668.

Abstract

The mortality due to lung cancer among 'chauffeurs', who have a presumably long-term exposure to diesel exhaust fumes, was analysed. As controls, men in industrial occupations of similar socio-economic status were selected. Cases were drawn from the Swiss mortality register for the years 1979-1983. Person-years were obtained using data from the 1980 census records. These two data files were combined by occupation, age class and socio-economic status. Age adjusted incidence rates were calculated applying Poisson regression. To control for tobacco related lung cancer mortality an indirect adjustment was undertaken. Using information about the smoking habits of the people in the occupations under study, smoking-attributable lung cancer mortality was accounted for by incorporating Axelson's technique into multivariate regression modeling. The mortality ratio for lung cancer for chauffeurs with respect to the controls was 2.27, which is significantly in excess of 1:95% CI (1.99, 2.58). Other tobacco related diagnoses such as bladder cancer, esophageal cancer and ischemic heart diseases showed excess risks as well. After accounting for smoking, a slight but significant increase in lung cancer mortality remained among chauffeurs (mortality ratio 1.48, 95% CI: 1.30, 1.68). In summary, the present results do support the hypothesis that diesel exhaust is a significant cause of lung cancer.

摘要

对可能长期暴露于柴油废气中的“司机”群体的肺癌死亡率进行了分析。作为对照,选取了社会经济地位相似的从事工业职业的男性。病例来自1979 - 1983年瑞士的死亡率登记册。使用1980年人口普查记录的数据来计算人年数。这两个数据文件按职业、年龄组和社会经济地位进行合并。应用泊松回归计算年龄调整发病率。为控制与烟草相关的肺癌死亡率,进行了间接调整。利用所研究职业人群的吸烟习惯信息,通过将阿克塞尔森技术纳入多变量回归模型来计算吸烟所致肺癌死亡率。司机相对于对照组的肺癌死亡率比为2.27,显著高于1,95%置信区间为(1.99, 2.58)。其他与烟草相关的诊断,如膀胱癌、食管癌和缺血性心脏病也显示出超额风险。在考虑吸烟因素后,司机中的肺癌死亡率仍有轻微但显著的增加(死亡率比1.48, 95%置信区间: 1.30, 1.68)。总之,目前的结果确实支持柴油废气是肺癌的一个重要病因这一假设。

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