Scott F, Boogert A, Smart S, Anderson J
King George V Hospital, Sydney, New South Wales.
Aust N Z J Obstet Gynaecol. 1995 May;35(2):165-8. doi: 10.1111/j.1479-828x.1995.tb01860.x.
Over a 15-month period, maternal serum screening (alpha fetoprotein, oestriol, chorionic gonadotrophin) and ultrasound were evaluated in the detection of all chromosomal abnormalities. Of the 981 screened, there were 8 chromosomally abnormal pregnancies. Six of these were considered to be at increased risk on serum screening, all of which were detected. Of the remaining 2, one was detected by ultrasound and the other resulted in a liveborn baby with trisomy 21. The positive and negative predictive values for serum screening for all chromosomal abnormalities was 7.8% and 99.9% respectively. The sensitivity and specificity was 87.5% and 91.5% respectively. Serum screening is useful in the detection of many chromosomal abnormalities, not just Down syndrome. The combination of maternal serum screening and ultrasound has a high negative predictive value and is valuable in providing reassurance of no underlying chromosomal abnormality. With a positive predictive value of 7.8% a chromosomal abnormality will be found once in every 13 amniocenteses performed.
在15个月的时间里,对母体血清筛查(甲胎蛋白、雌三醇、绒毛膜促性腺激素)和超声检查在检测所有染色体异常方面进行了评估。在接受筛查的981例孕妇中,有8例妊娠存在染色体异常。其中6例在血清筛查中被认为风险增加,均被检测出来。其余2例中,1例通过超声检查发现,另1例生出了一名患有21三体综合征的活产婴儿。血清筛查对所有染色体异常的阳性预测值和阴性预测值分别为7.8%和99.9%。敏感性和特异性分别为87.5%和91.5%。血清筛查不仅对检测唐氏综合征有用,对检测许多染色体异常也很有帮助。母体血清筛查和超声检查相结合具有很高的阴性预测值,对于确保不存在潜在染色体异常很有价值。阳性预测值为7.8%,即每进行13次羊膜穿刺术就会发现1例染色体异常。