Jairath N, Weinstein J
Can J Nurs Adm. 1994 Sep-Oct;7(3):29-42.
The Delphi methodology is used to determine, predict and explore group attitudes, needs and priorities. This paper, the first of a two part series on the Delphi methodology, will provide nurse administrators with the basic information necessary to participate in and conduct projects using the Delphi methodology. The methodology will be defined and issues related to design, sampling, instrumentation and methods of data analysis discussed. The role of the nurse administrator, when the Delphi methodology is used, will then be addressed. In the second paper, administrative applications of the Delphi methodology will be addressed.
德尔菲法用于确定、预测和探究群体态度、需求及优先事项。本文是关于德尔菲法的系列文章的第一篇，将为护士管理人员提供参与和开展运用德尔菲法项目所需的基本信息。将对该方法进行定义，并讨论与设计、抽样、工具及数据分析方法相关的问题。接着将阐述使用德尔菲法时护士管理人员的角色。第二篇文章将探讨德尔菲法的管理应用。
