Finley B L, Scott P K, Mayhall D A
ChemRisk, Division of McLaren/Hart, Cleveland, Ohio 44122.
Risk Anal. 1994 Aug;14(4):555-69. doi: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.1994.tb00270.x.
It has recently been suggested that "standard" data distributions for key exposure variables should be developed wherever appropriate for use in probabilistic or "Monte Carlo" exposure analyses. Soil-on-skin adherence estimates represent an ideal candidate for development of a standard data distribution: There are several readily available studies which offer a consistent pattern of reported results, and more importantly, soil adherence to skin is likely to vary little from site-to-site. In this paper, we thoroughly review each of the published soil adherence studies with respect to study design, sampling, and analytical methods, and level of confidence in the reported results. Based on these studies, probability density functions (PDF) of soil adherence values were examined for different age groups and different sampling techniques. The soil adherence PDF developed from adult data was found to resemble closely the soil adherence PDF based on child data in terms of both central tendency (mean = 0.49 and 0.63 mg-soil/cm2-skin, respectively) and 95th percentile values (1.6 and 2.4 mg-soil/cm2-skin, respectively). Accordingly, a single, "standard" PDF is presented based on all data collected for all age groups. This standard PDF is lognormally distributed; the arithmetic mean and standard deviation are 0.52 +/- 0.9 mg-soil/cm2-skin. Since our review of the literature indicates that soil adherence under environmental conditions will be minimally influenced by age, sex, soil type, or particle size, this PDF should be considered applicable to all settings. The 50th and 95th percentile values of the standard PDF (0.25 and 1.7 mg-soil/cm2-skin, respectively) are very similar to recent U.S. EPA estimates of "average" and "upper-bound" soil adherence (0.2 and 1.0 mg-soil/cm2-skin, respectively).
最近有人建议,只要适用,就应为关键暴露变量制定“标准”数据分布,以用于概率性或“蒙特卡洛”暴露分析。皮肤与土壤的附着估计值是制定标准数据分布的理想候选对象:有几项现成的研究提供了一致的报告结果模式,更重要的是,不同地点的土壤与皮肤的附着情况可能差异很小。在本文中,我们全面回顾了每项已发表的土壤附着研究,涉及研究设计、采样、分析方法以及报告结果的置信水平。基于这些研究,我们检查了不同年龄组和不同采样技术下土壤附着值的概率密度函数(PDF)。从成人数据得出的土壤附着PDF在集中趋势(均值分别为0.49和0.63毫克土壤/平方厘米皮肤)和第95百分位数(分别为1.6和2.4毫克土壤/平方厘米皮肤)方面,与基于儿童数据的土壤附着PDF非常相似。因此,根据为所有年龄组收集的所有数据,给出了一个单一的“标准”PDF。这个标准PDF呈对数正态分布;算术平均值和标准差分别为0.52±0.9毫克土壤/平方厘米皮肤。由于我们对文献的回顾表明,环境条件下的土壤附着受年龄、性别、土壤类型或颗粒大小的影响极小,因此该PDF应被视为适用于所有情况。标准PDF的第50和第95百分位数(分别为0.25和1.7毫克土壤/平方厘米皮肤)与美国环境保护局最近对“平均”和“上限”土壤附着的估计值(分别为0.2和1.0毫克土壤/平方厘米皮肤)非常相似。