Reese F L, Chassin L, Molina B S
Department of Psychology, Virginia Commonwealth University, Richmond 23284-2018.
J Stud Alcohol. 1994 May;55(3):276-84. doi: 10.15288/jsa.1994.55.276.
The current study examined the role of alcohol expectancies and parental alcoholism in prospectively predicting alcohol consumption and consequences among early adolescents. We examined whether personal effects expectancies would predict "problem" alcohol use outcomes and if social effects expectancies would predict "normal" alcohol consumption. Although confirmatory factor analytic techniques showed considerable overlap between personal and social effects expectancies, we found evidence to suggest that distinctiveness between these constructs may increase at higher levels of alcohol consumption. Regression analyses supported the utility of alcohol expectancies in prospectively predicting alcohol consequences over and above pre-existing alcohol consumption, and parental alcoholism. However, there was no consistent support for the hypothesis that personal and social effects expectancies predicted different types of drinking outcomes, possibly because of the young age of the current sample.
本研究探讨了饮酒预期和父母酗酒在前瞻性预测青少年早期饮酒行为及其后果方面的作用。我们研究了个人效应预期是否能预测“问题”饮酒结果，以及社会效应预期是否能预测“正常”饮酒行为。尽管验证性因素分析技术显示个人效应预期和社会效应预期之间存在相当大的重叠，但我们发现有证据表明，在饮酒量较高时，这些构念之间的差异可能会增加。回归分析支持了饮酒预期在前瞻性预测饮酒后果方面的效用，这种效用超过了已有的饮酒行为和父母酗酒的影响。然而，对于个人效应预期和社会效应预期能预测不同类型饮酒结果这一假设，并没有得到一致的支持，这可能是因为当前样本年龄较小。
