Gay N J, Morgan-Capner P, Wright J, Farrington C P, Miller E
Immunisation Division, PHLS Communicable Disease Surveillance Centre, London.
Epidemiol Infect. 1994 Aug;113(1):113-20. doi: 10.1017/s0950268800051529.
Sera from an age-stratified sample of 7196 individuals, submitted for diagnostic purposes to four public health laboratories in England in 1986/7, were tested for hepatitis A antibody. The serological profiles, which showed marked regional differences, were consistent with declining incidence in the past. The decline in the incidence of hepatitis A has resulted in an increase in susceptibility in adults. This has three main consequences: an increase in the average age of infection may be leading to an increase in morbidity; normal immunoglobulin may become less protective against hepatitis A; the risk of transmission through blood products contaminated by viraemic blood donors may rise. Current average annual incidence in 5-14-year olds was estimated to vary between regions from 0.5-1.9%. This supports the view that, in the absence of a vaccination programme, hepatitis A will remain endemic unless there are further improvements in living conditions and standards of hygiene. A vaccine giving long-lasting protection could eliminate hepatitis A transmission with modest coverage at a young age. Targeting childhood vaccination on economically deprived areas or using vaccine to control outbreaks might be more effective policies.
1986年/1987年期间,为诊断目的提交给英格兰四个公共卫生实验室的、来自7196名按年龄分层抽样个体的血清,接受了甲型肝炎抗体检测。血清学特征显示出明显的地区差异,与过去发病率下降相一致。甲型肝炎发病率的下降导致成年人易感性增加。这产生了三个主要后果:感染平均年龄的增加可能导致发病率上升;普通免疫球蛋白对甲型肝炎的保护作用可能减弱;通过受病毒血症献血者污染的血液制品传播的风险可能增加。据估计,5至14岁儿童目前的年平均发病率在各地区之间为0.5%至1.9%。这支持了这样一种观点,即在没有疫苗接种计划的情况下,除非生活条件和卫生标准有进一步改善,甲型肝炎将仍然流行。一种能提供长期保护的疫苗,以适度的低龄覆盖率就可以消除甲型肝炎的传播。将儿童疫苗接种目标对准经济贫困地区或使用疫苗控制疫情可能是更有效的政策。