Schoenbaum S C, Hyde JN Jr Bartoshesky L, Crampton K
N Engl J Med. 1976 Feb 5;294(6):306-10. doi: 10.1056/NEJM197602052940604.
To analyze rubella vaccination strategies we calculated benefits and costs of prevention or rubella. With no vaccination, lifetime expenditures for congenital rubella syndrome in offspring of females are greater than $35 per female (present value). Expenditures for acute rubella are less than $2.70 per person. Cost, when monovalent vaccine is used, is $3.00 per person. Vaccination of females at 12 years of age yields net benefits 80 per cent larger than vaccination of children at two. When only 80 per cent of the target group accepts vaccine, vaccination at 12 years reduces congenital rubella by 30 per cent more than vaccination at six or two. Vaccination at two and revaccination at 12 (with 80 per cent acceptance at each age) reduces expected natural infections by 80 per cent and expected congenital rubella by 95 per cent. Either single vaccination of females at 12 years or vaccination at two ages would be better than current United States practice of vaccinating children once at an early age.
为分析风疹疫苗接种策略,我们计算了预防风疹的收益和成本。若不接种疫苗,女性后代先天性风疹综合征的终身支出超过每位女性35美元(现值)。急性风疹的支出每人不到2.70美元。使用单价疫苗时,成本为每人3.00美元。12岁女性接种疫苗产生的净收益比2岁儿童接种疫苗高80%。当只有80%的目标群体接受疫苗时,12岁接种疫苗比6岁或2岁接种疫苗减少先天性风疹的比例多30%。2岁时接种疫苗并在12岁时再次接种(每个年龄段的接受率为80%)可将预期自然感染减少80%,预期先天性风疹减少95%。12岁女性单次接种疫苗或在两个年龄段接种疫苗都比美国目前在儿童早期单次接种疫苗的做法更好。