Morris J K, Cook D G, Shaper A G
Department of Public Health, Royal Free Hospital School of Medicine, London.
BMJ. 1994 Apr 30;308(6937):1135-9. doi: 10.1136/bmj.308.6937.1135.
To assess effect of unemployment and early retirement on mortality in a group of middle aged British men.
Prospective cohort study (British Regional Heart Study). Five years after initial screening, information on employment experience was obtained with a postal questionnaire.
One general practice in each of 24 towns in Britain.
6191 men aged 40-59 who had been continuously employed for at least five years before initial screening in 1978-80: 1779 experienced some unemployment or retired during the five years after screening, and 4412 remained continuously employed.
Mortality during 5.5 years after postal questionnaire.
Men who experienced unemployment in the five years after initial screening were twice as likely to die during the following 5.5 years as men who remained continuously employed (relative risk 2.13 (95% confidence interval 1.71 to 2.65). After adjustment for socioeconomic variables (town and social class), health related behaviour (smoking, alcohol consumption, and body weight), and health indicators (recall of doctor diagnoses) that had been assessed at initial screening the relative risk was slightly reduced, to 1.95 (1.57 to 2.43). Even men who retired early for reasons other than illness and who appeared to be relatively advantaged and healthy had a significantly increased risk of mortality compared with men who remained continuously employed (relative risk 1.87 (1.35 to 2.60)). The increased risk of mortality from cancer was similar to that of mortality from cardiovascular disease (adjusted relative risk 2.07 and 2.13 respectively).
In this group of stably employed middle aged men loss of employment was associated with an increased risk of mortality even after adjustment for background variables, suggesting a causal effect. The effect was non-specific, however, with the increased mortality involving both cancer and cardiovascular disease.
评估失业和提前退休对一组英国中年男性死亡率的影响。
前瞻性队列研究(英国地区心脏研究)。在初次筛查五年后,通过邮寄问卷获取就业经历信息。
英国24个城镇中的每个城镇的一家普通诊所。
6191名年龄在40 - 59岁之间的男性,他们在1978 - 1980年初次筛查前已连续工作至少五年:1779人在筛查后的五年内经历了某种形式的失业或退休,4412人仍持续就业。
邮寄问卷后5.5年期间的死亡率。
初次筛查后五年内经历失业 的男性在接下来的5.5年中死亡的可能性是持续就业男性的两倍(相对风险2.13(95%置信区间1.71至2.65))。在对初次筛查时评估的社会经济变量(城镇和社会阶层)、健康相关行为(吸烟、饮酒和体重)以及健康指标(回忆医生诊断)进行调整后,相对风险略有降低,降至1.95(1.57至2.43)。即使是因非疾病原因提前退休且看似相对优越和健康的男性,与持续就业的男性相比,其死亡风险也显著增加(相对风险1.87(1.35至2.60))。癌症导致的死亡风险增加与心血管疾病导致的死亡风险增加相似(调整后的相对风险分别为2.07和2.13)。
在这组稳定就业的中年男性中,即使在对背景变量进行调整后,就业丧失仍与死亡风险增加相关,提示存在因果效应。然而,这种效应是非特异性的,死亡率增加涉及癌症和心血管疾病两者。