Millar W J, Hill G B
Canadian Centre for Health Information, Ottawa, Ont.
CMAJ. 1993 Sep 1;149(5):629-35.
To analyse and describe the prevalence of sudden infant death syndrome (SIDS) in the Canadian population in relation to the distribution of known risk factors for the syndrome. To explain the observed interprovincial variation in SIDS rates.
Retrospective population-based case-control study.
All the provinces and territories of Canada except Quebec.
The birth and infant death records of singleton births for 1986-88 were linked. The linkage was successful in matching 904 (86%) of the 1053 deaths attributed to SIDS to the birth file for the infant. For each SIDS case three control babies who survived infancy were chosen at random, matched by province of birth.
Infant death classified as a "sudden infant death." Independent variables included infant's sex, birth weight and gestational age, being small for gestational age, mother's age, marital status and parity, and father's age.
The risk of SIDS was greater for boys (odds ratio [OR] 1.47, 95% confidence limits [CLs] 1.26 and 1.70) than for girls and was greater for the infants of unmarried women (OR 3.48, 95% CLs 2.94 and 4.11) than for those of married women. The risk of SIDS was inversely related to birth weight (p < 0.001), duration of pregnancy (p < 0.001) and mother's age (up to age 35) (p < 0.001) and was directly related to parity (up to four) (p < 0.001). The available information on birth and death registrations enabled about 30% of deaths from SIDS to be predicted.
Logistic regression equations based on the risk factors available in vital statistics data have low power to predict provincial differences in rates of SIDS. Consequently, there may be additional factors that may explain provincial variation. There is a need for a well-designed case-control study that examines more variables than are available through vital registration systems.
分析并描述加拿大人群中婴儿猝死综合征(SIDS)的患病率及其与该综合征已知风险因素分布的关系。解释所观察到的各省SIDS发生率的差异。
基于人群的回顾性病例对照研究。
加拿大除魁北克省外的所有省份和地区。
1986 - 1988年单胎出生的出生及婴儿死亡记录进行了关联。在1053例归因于SIDS的死亡病例中,成功关联了904例(86%)与婴儿的出生档案。对于每例SIDS病例,随机选择3名存活至婴儿期的对照婴儿,并按出生省份进行匹配。
被归类为“婴儿猝死”的婴儿死亡情况。自变量包括婴儿性别、出生体重和胎龄、小于胎龄、母亲年龄、婚姻状况和产次以及父亲年龄。
男孩患SIDS的风险高于女孩(优势比[OR]为1.47,95%置信区间[CLs]为1.26和1.70),未婚女性的婴儿患SIDS的风险高于已婚女性(OR为3.48,95% CLs为2.94和4.11)。SIDS风险与出生体重(p < 0.001)、孕期时长(p < 0.001)和母亲年龄(35岁及以下)(p < 0.001)呈负相关,与产次(最多4次)(p < 0.001)呈正相关。关于出生和死亡登记的现有信息能够预测约30%的SIDS死亡病例。
基于生命统计数据中可用风险因素的逻辑回归方程预测各省SIDS发生率差异的能力较低。因此,可能存在其他因素可以解释各省之间的差异。需要进行一项设计良好的病例对照研究,该研究要考察比通过生命登记系统可得变量更多的变量。