Killias M
Faculté de droit, Université de Lausanne, Switzerland.
CMAJ. 1993 May 15;148(10):1721-5.
To examine international correlations between reported rates of household gun ownership and rates of homicide and suicide with a gun.
Survey.
People who responded to a telephone survey conducted by the 1989 International Crime Survey in 11 European countries, Australia, Canada and the United States.
Positive correlations were obtained between the rates of household gun ownership and the national rates of homicide and suicide as well as the proportions of homicides and suicides committed with a gun. There was no negative correlation between the rates of ownership and the rates of homicide and suicide committed by other means; this indicated that the other means were not used to "compensate" for the absence of guns in countries with a lower rate of gun ownership.
Larger studies are needed to examine more closely possible confounding factors such as the national tendency toward violent solutions, and more information on the type and availability of guns will be helpful in future studies. Nevertheless, the correlations detected in this study suggest that the presence of a gun in the home increases the likelihood of homicide or suicide.
研究报告的家庭枪支拥有率与用枪实施的凶杀率和自杀率之间的国际相关性。
调查。
对1989年国际犯罪调查在11个欧洲国家、澳大利亚、加拿大和美国进行的电话调查做出回应的人。
家庭枪支拥有率与国家凶杀率和自杀率以及用枪实施的凶杀和自杀比例之间存在正相关。枪支拥有率与其他手段实施的凶杀和自杀率之间不存在负相关;这表明在枪支拥有率较低的国家,其他手段并非用于“弥补”枪支的缺失。
需要开展更大规模的研究,以更密切地审视可能的混杂因素,如国家对暴力解决方式的倾向,并且更多关于枪支类型和可得性的信息将有助于未来的研究。然而,本研究中检测到的相关性表明,家中有枪会增加凶杀或自杀的可能性。