Nee S, Holmes E C, May R M, Harvey P H
A.F.R.C. Unit of Ecology and Behaviour, Department of Zoology, University of Oxford, U.K.
Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci. 1994 Apr 29;344(1307):77-82. doi: 10.1098/rstb.1994.0054.
Molecular phylogenies can be used to reject null models of the way we think evolution occurred, including patterns of lineage extinction. They can also be used to provide maximum likelihood estimates of parameters associated with lineage birth and death rates. We illustrate: (i) how molecular phylogenies provide information about the extent to which particular clades are likely to be under threat from extinction; (ii) how cursory analyses of molecular phylogenies can lead to incorrect conclusions about the evolutionary processes that have been at work; and (iii) how different evolutionary processes leave distinctive marks on the structure of reconstructed phylogenies.
分子系统发育学可用于否定我们所认为的进化发生方式的零模型，包括谱系灭绝模式。它们还可用于提供与谱系诞生和死亡率相关参数的最大似然估计。我们举例说明：（i）分子系统发育学如何提供有关特定进化枝可能受到灭绝威胁程度的信息；（ii）对分子系统发育学的粗略分析如何导致对一直在起作用的进化过程得出错误结论；以及（iii）不同的进化过程如何在重建的系统发育结构上留下独特的印记。
