Kelleher K J, Pope S K, Kirby R S, Rickert V I
Department of Pediatrics, University of Pittsburgh, PA 15213, USA.
J Adolesc Health. 1996 Nov;19(5):325-30. doi: 10.1016/S1054-139X(96)00089-4.
To examine the association between the availability of alcohol and male (15-24-years-old) motor vehicle fatalities.
Assessed association between motor vehicle fatality rates for each of 75 counties for males with measures of alcohol availability (whether the county was wet or dry, number of licensed on-site and off-site alcohol outlets) after controlling for other variables for a 6-year period. Poisson regression models were employed.
No significant relationships were found between county-level motor vehicle fatality rates and any of the alcohol availability measures examined. However, rural residence was associated with much higher fatality rates.
Overall, ecologic models, employing a wide range of variables, account for little of the variance in motor vehicle fatality rates for young men. These findings support the position that further legal or regulatory restrictions on alcohol outlet licensing may not have an impact on fatalities. The higher rates associated with rural residence, while consistent with other work, cannot be explained by alcohol beverage outlets.
研究酒精可得性与男性（15 - 24岁）机动车事故死亡率之间的关联。
在控制其他变量的情况下，对75个县男性的机动车死亡率与酒精可得性指标（县是售酒区还是禁酒区、持牌的场内和场外酒精销售点数量）进行为期6年的关联评估。采用泊松回归模型。
未发现县级机动车死亡率与所考察的任何酒精可得性指标之间存在显著关系。然而，农村居民的死亡率要高得多。
总体而言，采用多种变量的生态模型对年轻男性机动车死亡率的方差解释甚微。这些发现支持以下观点：对酒精销售点许可证发放的进一步法律或监管限制可能不会对死亡率产生影响。与农村居民相关的较高死亡率虽与其他研究结果一致，但无法用酒精饮料销售点来解释。
