Bonnevie O
Gastroenterology. 1977 Nov;73(5):1000-4.
An analysis has been made of 235 deaths that occurred among 1905 patients with peptic ulcer who constituted a random sample of the occurrence of ulcer disease in an area of Denmark comprising half a million inhabitants. The disease itself, according to the death certificate, was considered the primary cause of death in 10% of the cases; half of these had been operated on immediately before death. The other patients died more frequently than expected from the following causes: chronic bronchitis, pulmonary emphysema, cancer of the lung, cirrhosis of the liver, and cancer of the pancreas. Although the comorbidity with chronic bronchitis and emphysema was especially pronounced in patients with gastric ulcer, the association with liver cirrhosis and cancer of the pancreas occurred only in patients with duodenal ulcer. In women the mortality rate attributable to cardiac and vascular diseases was lower than expected. No excess coincidence of suicide was found. Berkson's fallacy is considered to be of much less importance as a possible explanation of the comorbidity found in the present study than in the majority of publications concerned with this question.
对丹麦一个有50万居民地区溃疡病发病情况的随机样本——1905例消化性溃疡患者中的235例死亡病例进行了分析。根据死亡证明,该疾病本身在10%的病例中被视为主要死因;其中一半在死亡前立即接受了手术。其他患者死于以下原因的频率高于预期:慢性支气管炎、肺气肿、肺癌、肝硬化和胰腺癌。虽然胃溃疡患者中慢性支气管炎和肺气肿的合并症尤为明显,但肝硬化和胰腺癌的关联仅发生在十二指肠溃疡患者中。女性中心脏病和血管疾病导致的死亡率低于预期。未发现自杀的过度巧合情况。与大多数关于这个问题的出版物相比,伯克森谬误被认为作为本研究中发现的合并症的一种可能解释,其重要性要小得多。