Ratcliffe J, Cairns J, Platt S
Health Economics Research Group, Brunel University, Uxbridge, Middlesex, UK.
Tob Control. 1997 Summer;6(2):104-10. doi: 10.1136/tc.6.2.104.
To evaluate the costs and outcomes associated with the Health Education Board for Scotland's general public anti-smoking campaign during the developmental stage and its first year of operation.
Cost information collected retrospectively was combined with prospectively collected effectiveness data.
A panel of 970 adults were recruited from a 1-in-10 random sample of adult callers to the telephone helpline (Smokeline). Those who smoked were subsequently interviewed at three weeks, six months, and one year follow up. Information on smoking status at one year and time spent as a non-smoker was available for 587 members of the panel.
Intermediate outcomes in the follow-up sample included a point prevalence and period prevalence measure of smoking cessation. Long-term outcomes were measured in terms of predicted reductions in mortality as a consequence of smoking cessation.
At the 12-month point, 9.88% of individuals in the follow-up sample reported themselves as non-smokers and as having given up for at least six months in the previous year. Estimates of the cost per life-year saved as a result of the campaign range from 304 pounds sterling to 656 pounds sterling.
Provided that the benefits of smoking cessation are broadly accurate, and the assumed level of quitting can be directly attributed to Smokeline, then this mass media-led anti-smoking campaign appears to have been cost effective.
评估苏格兰健康教育委员会在其大众反吸烟运动发展阶段及运营第一年的成本与成效。
回顾性收集的成本信息与前瞻性收集的有效性数据相结合。
从拨打热线电话(戒烟热线)的成年来电者中按十分之一的随机抽样选取了970名成年人组成一个小组。随后,对那些吸烟者在三周、六个月和一年的随访时进行访谈。该小组的587名成员提供了一年时的吸烟状况信息以及作为非吸烟者的时长信息。
随访样本中的中间结局包括戒烟的时点患病率和期间患病率测量。长期结局则根据戒烟导致的预测死亡率降低来衡量。
在12个月时,随访样本中有9.88%的个体报告自己已戒烟且在前一年至少已戒烟六个月。该运动每挽救一个生命年的成本估计在304英镑至656英镑之间。
倘若戒烟的益处大致准确,且假定的戒烟水平可直接归因于戒烟热线,那么这场由大众媒体主导的反吸烟运动似乎具有成本效益。