Ramsay M, Brugha R, Brown D
Immunisation Division, PHLS Communicable Disease Surveillance Centre, London, England.
Bull World Health Organ. 1997;75(6):515-21.
The impact of a mass vaccination campaign against measles-rubella in England and Wales was assessed using the results of a saliva test for measles-specific IgM, which was offered to all notified cases of measles. By means of clinical data supplied by the reporting doctors, we estimated the sensitivity and specificity of various clinical case definitions in predicting a confirmed case. A saliva sample was obtained within the appropriate time period for 3442/7574 (45.4%) of notified cases; the proportion confirmed by saliva testing was low and fell from 67/681 (9.8%) at the start of the campaign to 1/373 (0.3%) after 35 weeks. The specificity of all clinical case definitions was low, but was highest at 41.1% (95% confidence interval, 39.2-43.0%) for the definition similar to that recommended in the USA. Extrapolating from cases observed during ongoing surveillance permits estimation of an annual notification rate for nonmeasles rash and fever illness. For countries with good measles control, a clinical case definition is too nonspecific for accurate surveillance. Laboratory confirmation of suspected measles cases is required and saliva testing is an acceptable method. The continued sensitivity of measles surveillance in England and Wales requires that the incidence of notified rash and fever illness and the proportion of cases in which measles infection was excluded by laboratory testing be monitored.
利用针对所有麻疹报告病例提供的麻疹特异性IgM唾液检测结果,评估了英格兰和威尔士大规模麻疹-风疹疫苗接种运动的影响。通过报告医生提供的临床数据,我们估计了各种临床病例定义在预测确诊病例方面的敏感性和特异性。在适当时间段内,为3442/7574(45.4%)的报告病例采集了唾液样本;唾液检测确诊的比例较低,从运动开始时的67/681(9.8%)降至35周后的1/373(0.3%)。所有临床病例定义的特异性都较低,但与美国推荐的定义相似的定义特异性最高,为41.1%(95%置信区间,39.2-43.0%)。根据正在进行的监测中观察到的病例进行推断,可以估计非麻疹皮疹和发热疾病的年度报告率。对于麻疹控制良好的国家,临床病例定义对于准确监测而言特异性太低。疑似麻疹病例需要实验室确诊,唾液检测是一种可接受的方法。英格兰和威尔士麻疹监测的持续敏感性要求监测报告的皮疹和发热疾病的发病率以及通过实验室检测排除麻疹感染的病例比例。