Fagan S C, Morgenstern L B, Petitta A, Ward R E, Tilley B C, Marler J R, Levine S R, Broderick J P, Kwiatkowski T G, Frankel M, Brott T G, Walker M D
College of Pharmacy, Wayne State University, Detroit, MI 48202, USA.
Neurology. 1998 Apr;50(4):883-90. doi: 10.1212/wnl.50.4.883.
Tissue plasminogen activator (tPA) has been shown to improve 3-month outcome in stroke patients treated within 3 hours of symptom onset. The costs associated with this new treatment will be a factor in determining the extent of its utilization. Data from the NINDS rt-PA Stroke Trial and the medical literature were used to estimate the health and economic outcomes associated with using tPA in acute stroke patients. A Markov model was developed to estimate the costs per 1,000 patients eligible for treatment with tPA compared with the costs per 1,000 untreated patients. One-way and multiway sensitivity analyses (using Monte Carlo simulation) were performed to estimate the overall uncertainty of the model results. In the NINDS rt-PA Stroke Trial, the average length of stay was significantly shorter in tPA-treated patients than in placebo-treated patients (10.9 versus 12.4 days; p = 0.02) and more tPA patients were discharged to home than to inpatient rehabilitation or a nursing home (48% versus 36%; p = 0.002). The Markov model estimated an increase in hospitalization costs of $1.7 million and a decrease in rehabilitation costs of $1.4 million and nursing home cost of $4.8 million per 1,000 eligible treated patients for a health care system that includes acute through long-term care facilities. Multiway sensitivity analysis revealed a greater than 90% probability of cost savings. The estimated impact on long-term health outcomes was 564 (3 to 850) quality-adjusted life-years saved over 30 years of the model per 1,000 patients. Treating acute ischemic stroke patients with tPA within 3 hours of symptom onset improves functional outcome at 3 months and is likely to result in a net cost savings to the health care system.
组织型纤溶酶原激活剂(tPA)已被证明可改善症状发作3小时内接受治疗的中风患者的3个月预后。与这种新疗法相关的成本将成为决定其使用范围的一个因素。来自美国国立神经疾病与中风研究所(NINDS)rt-PA中风试验和医学文献的数据被用于估计在急性中风患者中使用tPA相关的健康和经济结果。开发了一个马尔可夫模型,以估计每1000名符合tPA治疗条件的患者的成本,并与每1000名未治疗患者的成本进行比较。进行了单因素和多因素敏感性分析(使用蒙特卡罗模拟),以估计模型结果的总体不确定性。在NINDS rt-PA中风试验中,tPA治疗的患者平均住院时间明显短于安慰剂治疗的患者(10.9天对12.4天;p = 0.02),更多接受tPA治疗的患者出院回家,而非入住住院康复机构或疗养院(48%对36%;p = 0.002)。马尔可夫模型估计,对于一个包括急性到长期护理设施的医疗保健系统,每1000名符合治疗条件的患者,住院成本增加170万美元,康复成本减少140万美元,疗养院成本减少480万美元。多因素敏感性分析显示成本节约的概率大于90%。估计对长期健康结果的影响是,每1000名患者在模型的30年中可节省564(3至850)个质量调整生命年。在症状发作3小时内用tPA治疗急性缺血性中风患者可改善3个月时的功能结局,并可能为医疗保健系统带来净成本节约。