Shinn M, Weitzman B C, Stojanovic D, Knickman J R, Jiménez L, Duchon L, James S, Krantz D H
Department of Psychology, Wagner Graduate School of Public Service, New York University, NY 10003, USA.
Am J Public Health. 1998 Nov;88(11):1651-7. doi: 10.2105/ajph.88.11.1651.
This study examined predictors of entry into shelter and subsequent housing stability for a cohort of families receiving public assistance in New York City.
Interviews were conducted with 266 families as they requested shelter and with a comparison sample of 298 families selected at random from the welfare caseload. Respondents were reinterviewed 5 years later. Families with prior history of shelter use were excluded from the follow-up study.
Demographic characteristics and housing conditions were the most important risk factors for shelter entry; enduring poverty and disruptive social experiences also contributed. Five years later, four fifths of sheltered families had their own apartment. Receipt of subsidized housing was the primary predictor of housing stability among formerly homeless families (odds ratio [OR] = 20.6, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 9.9, 42.9).
Housing subsidies are critical to ending homelessness among families.
本研究调查了纽约市一群接受公共援助的家庭进入收容所的预测因素以及随后的住房稳定性。
对266个申请收容所的家庭以及从福利案件量中随机抽取的298个家庭组成的对照样本进行了访谈。5年后对受访者进行了再次访谈。有过使用收容所历史的家庭被排除在后续研究之外。
人口特征和住房条件是进入收容所的最重要风险因素；长期贫困和破坏性的社会经历也有影响。5年后，五分之四的受庇护家庭拥有了自己的公寓。获得补贴住房是以前无家可归家庭住房稳定的主要预测因素（优势比[OR]=20.6，95%置信区间[CI]=9.9，42.9）。
住房补贴对于消除家庭无家可归现象至关重要。
