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风险认知文化理论的定量测试:与心理测量范式的比较

A quantitative test of the cultural theory of risk perceptions: comparison with the psychometric paradigm.

作者信息

Marris C, Langford I H, O'Riordan T

机构信息

School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia, Norwich.

出版信息

Risk Anal. 1998 Oct;18(5):635-47. doi: 10.1023/b:rian.0000005937.60969.32.

Abstract

This paper seeks to compare two frameworks which have been proposed to explain risk perceptions, namely, cultural theory and the psychometric paradigm. A structured questionnaire which incorporated elements from both approaches was administered to 129 residents of Norwich, England. The qualitative risk characteristics generated by the psychometric paradigm explained a far greater proportion of the variance in risk perceptions than cultural biases, though it should be borne in mind that the qualitative characteristics refer directly to risks whereas cultural biases are much more distant variables. Correlations between cultural biases and risk perceptions were very low, but the key point was that each cultural bias was associated with concern about distinct types of risks and that the pattern of responses was compatible with that predicted by cultural theory. The cultural approach also provided indicators for underlying beliefs regarding trust and the environment; beliefs which were consistent within each world view but divergent between them. An important drawback, however, was that the psychometric questionnaire could only allocate 32% of the respondents unequivocally to one of the four cultural types. The rest of the sample expressed several cultural biases simultaneously, or none at all. Cultural biases are therefore probably best interpreted as four extreme world views, and a mixture of qualitative and quantitative research methodologies would generate better insights into who might defend these views in what circumstances, whether there are only four mutually exclusive world views or not, and how these views are related to patterns of social solidarity, and judgments on institutional trust.

摘要

本文旨在比较两种为解释风险认知而提出的框架,即文化理论和心理测量范式。一份融合了两种方法要素的结构化问卷被发放给了129名英国诺维奇的居民。心理测量范式所产生的定性风险特征比文化偏见解释了风险认知中更大比例的方差,不过应当记住,定性特征直接涉及风险,而文化偏见是更为间接的变量。文化偏见与风险认知之间的相关性非常低,但关键在于,每种文化偏见都与对不同类型风险的担忧相关,且回答模式与文化理论所预测的相符。文化方法还为关于信任和环境的潜在信念提供了指标;这些信念在每种世界观内部是一致的,但在不同世界观之间是有差异的。然而,一个重要的缺点是,心理测量问卷只能将32%的受访者明确地归为四种文化类型之一。其余样本同时表现出几种文化偏见,或者根本没有表现出任何文化偏见。因此,文化偏见或许最好被解释为四种极端的世界观,并且定性和定量研究方法的结合将能更深入地洞察谁可能在何种情况下捍卫这些观点,是否仅存在四种相互排斥的世界观,以及这些观点如何与社会团结模式以及对机构信任的判断相关联。

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