Manton K G, Tolley D H, Poss S S
Demography. 1976 Nov;13(4):541-64.
A lethal defect-wear model of mortality is presented which rationalizes the assumption of independent risks when death may be due to more than a single condition. Under this model, it is shown how competing risk theory and standard categorical data methods may be merged in a unified approach to the analysis of multiple-cause mortality data. The methodology is used to analyze linkages among diseases in the mortality data and evaluate the implication of the elimination of patterns of morbid states for multiple-cause mortality data from deaths occurring in 1969 in North Carolina.
提出了一种致命缺陷-磨损死亡率模型,该模型在死亡可能由多种疾病导致时,使独立风险假设合理化。在该模型下,展示了竞争风险理论和标准分类数据方法如何合并为一种统一的方法来分析多原因死亡率数据。该方法被用于分析死亡率数据中疾病之间的联系,并评估消除病态模式对北卡罗来纳州1969年死亡的多原因死亡率数据的影响。