Finlayson S R, Birkmeyer J D, Tosteson A N, Nease R F
VA Outcomes Group, Department of Veteran Affairs Medical Center, White River Junction, VT 05001, USA.
Med Care. 1999 Feb;37(2):204-9. doi: 10.1097/00005650-199902000-00010.
Regionalization of high-risk surgical procedures to selected high-volume centers has been proposed as a way to reduce operative mortality. For patients, however, travel to regional centers may be undesirable despite the expected mortality benefit.
To determine the strength of patient preferences for local care.
Using a scenario of potentially resectable pancreatic cancer and a modification of the standard gamble utility assessment technique, we determined the level of additional operative mortality risk patients would accept to undergo surgery at a local rather than at a distant regional hospital in which operative mortality was assumed to be 3%. We used multiple logistic regression to identify predictors of willingness to accept additional risk.
One hundred consecutive patients (95% male, median age 65) awaiting elective surgery at the Veterans Affairs Medical Center in White River Jct., VT.
Additional operative mortality risk patients would accept to keep care local.
All patients preferred local surgery if the operative mortality risk at the local hospital were the same as the regional hospital (3%). If local operative mortality risk were 6%, which is twice the regional risk, 45 of 100 patients would still prefer local surgery. If local risk were 12%, 23 of 100 patients would prefer local surgery. If local risk were 18%, 18 of 100 patients would prefer local surgery. Further increases in local risk did not result in large changes in the proportion of patients preferring local care.
Many patients prefer to undergo surgery locally even when travel to a regional center would result in lower operative mortality risk. Therefore, policy makers should consider patient preferences when assessing the expected value of regionalizing major surgery.
将高风险外科手术集中到选定的高容量中心进行,被认为是降低手术死亡率的一种方法。然而,对于患者来说,尽管预期有死亡率降低的益处,但前往区域中心就医可能并不理想。
确定患者对本地治疗的偏好程度。
通过设定一个可能可切除胰腺癌的情景,并对标准博弈效用评估技术进行修改,我们确定了患者为了在本地而非假定手术死亡率为3%的外地区域医院接受手术,愿意接受的额外手术死亡风险水平。我们使用多元逻辑回归来确定愿意接受额外风险的预测因素。
100名连续在佛蒙特州怀特河交界处退伍军人事务医疗中心等待择期手术的患者(95%为男性,年龄中位数65岁)。
患者为了在本地接受治疗愿意接受的额外手术死亡风险。
如果本地医院的手术死亡风险与区域医院相同(3%),所有患者都更倾向于在本地进行手术。如果本地手术死亡风险为6%,即区域风险的两倍,100名患者中有45名仍会选择在本地手术。如果本地风险为12%,100名患者中有23名会选择在本地手术。如果本地风险为18%,100名患者中有18名会选择在本地手术。本地风险的进一步增加并没有导致选择在本地治疗的患者比例发生大幅变化。
即使前往区域中心手术会带来更低的手术死亡风险,许多患者仍更愿意在本地接受手术。因此,政策制定者在评估将重大手术集中化的预期价值时应考虑患者的偏好。