Kobelt G, Eberhardt K, Jönsson L, Jönsson B
Lund University Hospital, Sweden.
Arthritis Rheum. 1999 Feb;42(2):347-56. doi: 10.1002/1529-0131(199902)42:2<347::AID-ANR18>3.0.CO;2-P.
To develop a simulation model for analysis of the cost-effectiveness of treatments that affect the progression of rheumatoid arthritis (RA).
The Markov model was developed on the basis of a Swedish cohort of 116 patients with early RA who were followed up for 5 years. The majority of patients had American College of Rheumatology (ACR) functional class II disease, and Markov states indicating disease severity were defined based on Health Assessment Questionnaire (HAQ) scores. Costs were calculated from data on resource utilization and patients' work capacity. Utilities (preference weights for health states) were assessed using the EQ-5D (EuroQol) questionnaire. Hypothetical treatment interventions were simulated to illustrate the model.
The cohort distribution among the 6 Markov states clearly showed the progression of the disease over 5 years of followup. Costs increased with increasing severity of the Markov states, and total costs over 5 years were higher for patients who were in more severe Markov states at diagnosis. Utilities correlated well with the Markov states, and the EQ-5D was able to discriminate between patients with different HAQ scores within ACR functional class II.
The Markov model was able to assess disease progression and costs in RA. The model can therefore be a useful tool in calculating the cost-effectiveness of different interventions aimed at changing the progression of the disease.
建立一个模拟模型,用于分析影响类风湿关节炎(RA)病情进展的治疗方法的成本效益。
马尔可夫模型基于瑞典一组116例早期RA患者建立,对其进行了5年的随访。大多数患者患有美国风湿病学会(ACR)功能II级疾病,根据健康评估问卷(HAQ)评分定义了表示疾病严重程度的马尔可夫状态。成本根据资源利用数据和患者工作能力计算得出。使用EQ-5D(欧洲五维度健康量表)问卷评估效用(健康状态的偏好权重)。模拟了假设的治疗干预措施以说明该模型。
6个马尔可夫状态之间的队列分布清楚地显示了疾病在5年随访期间的进展情况。成本随着马尔可夫状态严重程度的增加而增加,诊断时处于更严重马尔可夫状态的患者5年总成本更高。效用与马尔可夫状态密切相关,EQ-5D能够区分ACR功能II级内不同HAQ评分的患者。
马尔可夫模型能够评估RA的疾病进展和成本。因此,该模型可成为计算旨在改变疾病进展的不同干预措施成本效益的有用工具。