Freedman D H
Harv Bus Rev. 1992 Nov-Dec;70(6):26-8, 30-3, 36-8.
New technologies are transforming products, markets, and entire industries. Yet the more science and technology reshape the essence of business, the less useful the concept of management itself as a science seems to be. On reflection, this paradox is not so surprising. The traditional scientific approach to management promised to provide managers with the capacity to analyze, predict, and control the behavior of the complex organizations they led. But the world most managers currently inhabit often appears to be unpredictable, uncertain, and even uncontrollable. In the face of this more volatile business environment, the old-style mechanisms of "scientific management" seem positively counterproductive. And science itself appears less and less relevant to the practical concerns of managers. In this article, science journalist David Freedman argues that the problem lies less in the shortcomings of a scientific approach to management than in managers' understanding of science. What most managers think of as scientific management is based on a conception of science that few current scientists would defend. What's more, just as managers have become more preoccupied with the volatility of the business environment, scientists have also become preoccupied with the inherent volatility--the "chaos" and "complexity"--of nature. They are developing new rules for complex behavior in physical systems that have intriguing parallels to the kind of organizational behaviors companies are trying to encourage. In fact, science, long esteemed by business as a source of technological innovation, may ultimately prove of greatest value to managers as a source of something else: useful ways of looking at the world.
新技术正在改变产品、市场乃至整个行业。然而,科学技术对商业本质的重塑程度越高,管理本身作为一门科学的概念似乎就越无用。仔细想想,这种矛盾并不那么令人惊讶。传统的科学管理方法承诺为管理者提供分析、预测和控制他们所领导的复杂组织行为的能力。但如今大多数管理者所处的世界似乎往往不可预测、充满不确定性,甚至无法控制。面对这种更加动荡的商业环境,“科学管理”的老式机制似乎适得其反。而且科学本身似乎与管理者的实际关切越来越不相关。在本文中,科学记者大卫·弗里德曼认为,问题与其说是科学管理方法的缺陷,不如说是管理者对科学的理解。大多数管理者所认为的科学管理是基于一种如今很少有科学家会捍卫的科学概念。此外,正如管理者越来越关注商业环境的波动性一样,科学家们也越来越关注自然界固有的波动性——“混乱”和“复杂性”。他们正在为物理系统中的复杂行为制定新规则,这些规则与公司试图鼓励的组织行为有着有趣的相似之处。事实上,长期以来被商界视为技术创新源泉的科学,最终可能对管理者具有最大价值的却是作为另一种东西的源泉:看待世界的有用方式。