Cook P J, Parnell A M, Moore M J, Pagnini D
Sanford Institute of Public Policy, Duke University, NC, USA.
J Health Econ. 1999 Apr;18(2):241-57. doi: 10.1016/s0167-6296(98)00048-4.
The appropriations for North Carolina's abortion fund have proven inadequate during five of the years between 1980 and 1994. This on-again, off-again funding pattern provides a natural experiment for estimating the short-run effect of changes in the cost of abortions on the number of abortions to indigent women. Using an unusually detailed dataset, we estimate the effects of funding termination on the monthly abortion and birth rates. Overall, approximately one-third of pregnancies that would have resulted in an abortion, had state funds been available, are instead carried to term.
事实证明,在1980年至1994年期间的五年里,北卡罗来纳州堕胎基金的拨款是不足的。这种断断续续的资金模式为估计堕胎成本变化对贫困妇女堕胎数量的短期影响提供了一个自然实验。我们使用一个异常详细的数据集,估计了资金终止对每月堕胎率和出生率的影响。总体而言,在有国家资金的情况下本会导致堕胎的怀孕中,约有三分之一最终足月分娩。