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本文引用的文献

1
A future for epidemiology?流行病学的未来?
Annu Rev Public Health. 1999;20:15-33. doi: 10.1146/annurev.publhealth.20.1.15.
2
The genetics of obesity: what have genetic studies told us about the environment.肥胖的遗传学:基因研究告诉了我们哪些关于环境的信息。
Behav Genet. 1997 Jul;27(4):353-8. doi: 10.1023/a:1025687930765.
3
Withholding research results in academic life science. Evidence from a national survey of faculty.学术生命科学领域研究成果的隐瞒。来自一项针对教师的全国性调查的证据。
JAMA. 1997 Apr 16;277(15):1224-8.
4
Adverse childhood experiences: are they risk factors for adult homelessness?童年不良经历:它们是成年人无家可归的风险因素吗?
Am J Public Health. 1997 Feb;87(2):249-55. doi: 10.2105/ajph.87.2.249.
5
It's time for the public health community to declare war on homelessness.现在是公共卫生界向无家可归现象宣战的时候了。
Am J Public Health. 1997 Feb;87(2):153-5. doi: 10.2105/ajph.87.2.153.
6
Choosing a future for epidemiology: I. Eras and paradigms.为流行病学选择未来:I. 时代与范式。
Am J Public Health. 1996 May;86(5):668-73. doi: 10.2105/ajph.86.5.668.
7
Activity level and risk of overweight in male health professionals.男性健康专业人员的活动水平与超重风险
Am J Public Health. 1996 Jan;86(1):25-30. doi: 10.2105/ajph.86.1.25.
8
Risk factors for homelessness.无家可归的风险因素。
Epidemiol Rev. 1993;15(2):546-56. doi: 10.1093/oxfordjournals.epirev.a036133.
9
A model of homelessness among male veterans of the Vietnam War generation.越战一代男性退伍军人中的无家可归模式。
Am J Psychiatry. 1994 Mar;151(3):421-7. doi: 10.1176/ajp.151.3.421.
10
Increasing prevalence of overweight among US adults. The National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys, 1960 to 1991.美国成年人超重患病率上升。1960年至1991年的国家健康和营养检查调查。
JAMA. 1994 Jul 20;272(3):205-11. doi: 10.1001/jama.272.3.205.

错误问题的正确答案:III型错误对公共卫生研究的影响

The right answer for the wrong question: consequences of type III error for public health research.

作者信息

Schwartz S, Carpenter K M

机构信息

Joseph L. Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University, New York, NY 10032, USA.

出版信息

Am J Public Health. 1999 Aug;89(8):1175-80. doi: 10.2105/ajph.89.8.1175.

DOI:10.2105/ajph.89.8.1175
PMID:10432902
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC1508697/
Abstract

OBJECTIVES

This study examined the impact of assessing the causes of interindividual variation within a population when the research question of interest is about causes of differences between populations or time periods. This discrepancy between the research focus and the research question is referred to as a type III error, one that provides the right answer for the wrong question.

METHODS

Homelessness, obesity, and infant mortality were used to illustrate different consequences of type III errors. These different consequences depend on the relationships between the causes of within- and between-group variation.

CONCLUSIONS

The causes of inter-individual variation and the causes of variation between populations and time periods may be distinct. The problem of examining invariant causes deserves attention.

摘要

目的

本研究探讨了当感兴趣的研究问题是关于不同人群或不同时间段之间差异的原因时,评估人群内部个体间变异原因的影响。研究重点与研究问题之间的这种差异被称为III型错误,即对错误问题给出了正确答案。

方法

以无家可归、肥胖和婴儿死亡率为例,说明III型错误的不同后果。这些不同后果取决于组内变异原因与组间变异原因之间的关系。

结论

个体间变异的原因与不同人群和不同时间段之间变异的原因可能不同。研究不变原因的问题值得关注。