Li L, Kim K, Nitz L
Accident Research Center, Monash University, Clayton, VIC, Australia.
Accid Anal Prev. 1999 Nov;31(6):631-8. doi: 10.1016/s0001-4575(99)00022-6.
Police-reported crash data are rarely used to investigate safety belt use and its predictors, even though these data have a number of advantages over data collected in roadside surveys. It has been widely recognized that motorists tend to over-report their safety belt use to police when mandatory belt use becomes law. In this paper, we use a logistic regression model that allows for misclassification errors in outcome variable to examine predictors of safety belt use among crash-involved drivers and front seat passengers. Our analysis shows significant associations between occupant characteristics, driving circumstances, and safety belt use. Alcohol involvement has the strongest negative association with safety belt use, but this association would be considerably underestimated without adjusting for the over-reporting of safety belt use in police-reported crash data. The adjusted belt use rate among front seat occupants with at least nonincapacitating injuries is about 81%, compared to 90% in police-reported crash data.
警方报告的撞车数据很少用于调查安全带使用情况及其预测因素,尽管这些数据比路边调查收集的数据有许多优势。人们普遍认识到,当强制使用安全带成为法律时,驾车者往往会向警方夸大他们的安全带使用情况。在本文中,我们使用了一个逻辑回归模型,该模型允许结果变量中存在错误分类误差,以检查涉撞司机和前排乘客中安全带使用的预测因素。我们的分析表明,乘员特征、驾驶环境和安全带使用之间存在显著关联。酒精影响与安全带使用之间的负关联最强,但如果不调整警方报告的撞车数据中安全带使用情况的夸大报告,这种关联将被大大低估。至少有非致残性损伤的前排乘客的调整后安全带使用率约为81%,而警方报告的撞车数据中这一比例为90%。