Cummings P
Harborview Injury Prevention and Research Center and the Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health and Community Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington 98104, USA.
Inj Prev. 2002 Dec;8(4):338-41. doi: 10.1136/ip.8.4.338.
Estimates of any protective effect of seat belts could be exaggerated if some crash survivors falsely claimed to police that they were belted in order to avoid a fine. The aim of this study was to determine whether estimates of seat belt effectiveness differed when based on belt use as recorded by the police and belt use determined by trained crash investigators.
Matched cohort study.
United States.
Adult driver-passenger pairs in the same vehicle with at least one death (n=1689) sampled from crashes during 1988-2000; data from the National Accident Sampling System Crashworthiness Data System.
Risk ratio for death among belted occupants compared with those not belted.
Trained investigators determined post-crash seat belt use by vehicle inspections for 92% of the occupants, confidential interviews with survivors for 5%, and medical or autopsy reports for 3%. Using this information, the adjusted risk ratio for belted persons was 0.36 (95% confidence interval 0.29 to 0.46). The risk ratio was also 0.36 using police reported belt use for the same crashes.
Estimates of seat belt effects based upon police data were not substantially different from estimates which used data obtained by trained crash investigators who were not police officers. These results were from vehicles in which at least one front seat occupant died; these findings may not apply to estimates which use data from crashes without a death.
如果一些车祸幸存者为避免罚款而向警方谎称自己系了安全带,那么对安全带任何保护作用的估计可能会被夸大。本研究的目的是确定基于警方记录的安全带使用情况和训练有素的车祸调查人员确定的安全带使用情况时,安全带有效性的估计是否存在差异。
匹配队列研究。
美国。
1988年至2000年期间从车祸中抽取的同一车辆中至少有一人死亡的成年驾驶员-乘客对(n = 1689);数据来自国家事故抽样系统碰撞worthiness数据系统。
系安全带乘客与未系安全带乘客的死亡风险比。
训练有素的调查人员通过车辆检查确定了92%乘客的车祸后安全带使用情况,通过对幸存者的保密访谈确定了5%,通过医疗或尸检报告确定了3%。利用这些信息,系安全带者的调整后风险比为0.36(95%置信区间0.29至0.46)。对于相同车祸,使用警方报告的安全带使用情况时风险比也为0.36。
基于警方数据的安全带效果估计与使用非警察的训练有素的车祸调查人员获得的数据的估计没有实质性差异。这些结果来自至少有一名前排座位乘客死亡的车辆;这些发现可能不适用于使用无死亡车祸数据的估计。