Kruger J, Dunning D
Department of Psychology, Cornell University, Ithaca, New York 14853-7601, USA.
J Pers Soc Psychol. 1999 Dec;77(6):1121-34. doi: 10.1037//0022-3514.77.6.1121.
People tend to hold overly favorable views of their abilities in many social and intellectual domains. The authors suggest that this overestimation occurs, in part, because people who are unskilled in these domains suffer a dual burden: Not only do these people reach erroneous conclusions and make unfortunate choices, but their incompetence robs them of the metacognitive ability to realize it. Across 4 studies, the authors found that participants scoring in the bottom quartile on tests of humor, grammar, and logic grossly overestimated their test performance and ability. Although their test scores put them in the 12th percentile, they estimated themselves to be in the 62nd. Several analyses linked this miscalibration to deficits in metacognitive skill, or the capacity to distinguish accuracy from error. Paradoxically, improving the skills of participants, and thus increasing their metacognitive competence, helped them recognize the limitations of their abilities.
在许多社会和智力领域,人们往往对自己的能力持有过度乐观的看法。作者认为,这种高估部分是因为在这些领域缺乏技能的人承受着双重负担:这些人不仅会得出错误的结论并做出糟糕的选择,而且他们的无能还使他们丧失了认识到这一点的元认知能力。在四项研究中,作者发现,在幽默、语法和逻辑测试中得分处于后四分之一的参与者严重高估了自己的测试表现和能力。尽管他们的测试成绩使他们处于第12百分位,但他们却估计自己处于第62百分位。几项分析将这种校准错误与元认知技能的缺陷,即区分准确性与错误的能力联系起来。矛盾的是,提高参与者的技能,从而增强他们的元认知能力,有助于他们认识到自身能力的局限性。