Berman M, Hull T, May P
Institute of Social and Economic Research, University of Alaska Anchorage 99508, USA.
J Stud Alcohol. 2000 Mar;61(2):311-9. doi: 10.15288/jsa.2000.61.311.
This article tests whether different forms of community-level alcohol control significantly affect injury deaths in a population with extremely high injury mortality.
The 1981 Alaska local option law provides a natural experiment for studying how implementation of community level controls may be associated with changes in injury deaths, most of which are alcohol-related, among Alaska Natives living in small communities. The study compares population and community-specific death rates under different levels of alcohol control for the 97 communities that passed restrictions between 1980 and 1993 with the death rates in the same communities during periods when no restrictions were in place.
Injury death rates were generally lower during periods when alcohol sales, importation or possession were restricted than when no restrictions were in place (wet). More restrictive controls (dry) significantly reduced homicides; less restrictive control options (damp) reduced suicides. Accident and homicide death rates fell, on average, by 74 and 66 per 100,000, respectively, for the 89 communities that banned sale and importation or possession. A control group of 61 small communities that did not change control status under the law showed no significant changes over time in accident or homicide death rates.
The changes in accidental and homicide death rates are statistically significant, although these reduced rates remain 2.5 to 7 times national death rates. The isolated nature of Alaskan villages may explain why alcohol control has more effect in Alaska than has been found in studies of Native Americans living in other states.
本文旨在检验不同形式的社区层面酒精管制措施是否会对一个伤害死亡率极高的人群中的伤害死亡产生显著影响。
1981年阿拉斯加地方选择权法提供了一项自然实验,用于研究社区层面管制措施的实施与居住在小社区的阿拉斯加原住民中伤害死亡(其中大部分与酒精相关)变化之间的关联。该研究比较了1980年至1993年间通过限制措施的97个社区在不同酒精管制水平下的人口和社区特定死亡率,以及这些社区在未实施限制措施期间的死亡率。
在酒精销售、进口或持有受到限制的时期,伤害死亡率总体上低于未实施限制措施(酒水销售不受限)的时期。更严格的管制措施(禁酒)显著降低了凶杀案发生率;限制程度较低的管制措施(有限制)降低了自杀率。对于89个禁止销售、进口或持有酒精的社区,事故和凶杀案死亡率平均分别下降了每10万人74例和66例。一个由61个在该法律下未改变管制状态的小社区组成的对照组,其事故或凶杀案死亡率随时间没有显著变化。
意外和凶杀案死亡率的变化具有统计学意义,尽管这些降低后的比率仍为全国死亡率的2.5至7倍。阿拉斯加村庄的孤立性质可能解释了为何酒精管制在阿拉斯加比在对居住于其他州的美国原住民的研究中所发现的效果更显著。