Myers M L, Pana-Cryan R
NIOSH/CDC, Atlanta, Georgia 30333, USA.
J Agric Saf Health. 2000 Feb;6(1):41-55. doi: 10.13031/2013.2911.
This is the second of three articles that evaluate the consequences of using rollover protective structures (ROPS) on agricultural tractors. It presents the results of a decision analysis that compares three strategies for preventing injuries when agricultural tractors without ROPS overturn. The three strategies examined are "do nothing", "install ROPS", and "replace tractor". The strategies are implemented over a five-year period and health outcomes expressed as fatal and nonfatal injuries are calculated over a 23-year period. The "do nothing" strategy would result in 1,450 fatalities and 1,806 nonfatal injuries, while the "install ROPS" strategy would prevent 1,176 fatalities and 957 nonfatal injuries, and the "replace tractor" strategy would prevent 1,188 fatalities and 967 nonfatal injuries. The latter two strategies reflect more than an 80% reduction in fatalities and about 53% reduction in nonfatal injuries. The study does not consider overturn injuries that result from tractors lacking ROPS and for which ROPS are unavailable.
这是评估农用拖拉机翻车保护结构（ROPS）使用后果的三篇文章中的第二篇。它呈现了一项决策分析的结果，该分析比较了三种在无ROPS的农用拖拉机翻车时预防伤害的策略。所研究的三种策略分别是“什么都不做”“安装ROPS”和“更换拖拉机”。这些策略在五年期间实施，并在23年期间计算以致命伤和非致命伤表示的健康结果。“什么都不做”策略将导致1450人死亡和1806人非致命伤，而“安装ROPS”策略将预防1176人死亡和957人非致命伤，“更换拖拉机”策略将预防1188人死亡和967人非致命伤。后两种策略显示死亡率降低超过80%，非致命伤减少约53%。该研究未考虑因拖拉机缺少ROPS且无法获得ROPS而导致的翻车伤害。
