Gilbert E S, Koshurnikova N A, Sokolnikov M, Khokhryakov V F, Miller S, Preston D L, Romanov S A, Shilnikova N S, Suslova K G, Vostrotin V V
Radiation Epidemiology Branch, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, Maryland 20852, USA.
Radiat Res. 2000 Sep;154(3):246-52. doi: 10.1667/0033-7587(2000)154[0246:lcimw]2.0.co;2.
Liver cancer mortality risks were evaluated in 11,000 workers who started working at the "Mayak" Production Association in 1948-1958 and who were exposed to both internally deposited plutonium and external gamma radiation. Comparisons with Russian liver cancer incidence rates indicate excess risk, especially among those with detectable plutonium body burdens and among female workers in the plutonium plant. Comparisons within the Mayak worker cohort which evaluate the role of plutonium body burden with adjustment for cumulative external dose indicate excess risk among workers with burdens estimated to exceed 7.4 kBq (relative risk = 17; 95% CI = 8. 0-36) and among workers in the plutonium plant who did not have routine plutonium monitoring data based on urine measurements (relative risk = 2.8; 95% CI = 1.3-6.2). In addition, analyses treating the estimated plutonium body burden as a continuous variable indicate increasing risk with increasing burden (P < 0.001). Relative risks tended to be higher for females than for males, probably because of the lower baseline risk and the higher levels of plutonium measured in females. Because of limitations in current plutonium dosimetry, no attempt was made to quantify liver cancer risks from plutonium in terms of organ dose, and risk from external dose could not be reliably evaluated.
对1948年至1958年开始在“玛雅克”生产协会工作、同时受到体内沉积钚和外部伽马辐射照射的11000名工人的肝癌死亡风险进行了评估。与俄罗斯肝癌发病率的比较表明存在超额风险,尤其是在那些钚体内负荷可检测到的工人以及钚工厂的女工中。在玛雅克工人队列中进行的比较评估了钚体内负荷的作用,并对累积外部剂量进行了调整,结果表明,钚负荷估计超过7.4千贝克勒尔的工人(相对风险=17;95%置信区间=8.0 - 36)以及没有基于尿液测量的常规钚监测数据的钚工厂工人(相对风险=2.8;95%置信区间=1.3 - 6.2)存在超额风险。此外,将估计的钚体内负荷作为连续变量进行分析表明,风险随负荷增加而增加(P<0.001)。女性的相对风险往往高于男性,这可能是因为女性的基线风险较低且钚测量水平较高。由于当前钚剂量测定存在局限性,未尝试根据器官剂量对钚导致的肝癌风险进行量化,并且无法可靠评估外部剂量导致的风险。