Sokolnikov Mikhail E, Gilbert Ethel S, Preston Dale L, Ron Elaine, Shilnikova Natalia S, Khokhryakov Victor V, Vasilenko Evgeny K, Koshurnikova Nina A
Southern Urals Biophysics Institute, Ozyorsk, Chelyabinsk Region, Russian Federation.
Int J Cancer. 2008 Aug 15;123(4):905-11. doi: 10.1002/ijc.23581.
Workers at the Mayak nuclear facility in the Russian Federation offer the only adequate human data for evaluating cancer risks from exposure to plutonium. Risks of mortality from cancers of the lung, liver and bone, the organs receiving the largest doses from plutonium, were evaluated in a cohort of 17,740 workers initially hired 1948-1972 using, for the first time, recently improved individual organ dose estimates. Excess relative risk (ERR) models were used to evaluate risks as functions of internal (plutonium) dose, external (primarily gamma) dose, gender, attained age and smoking. By December 31, 2003, 681 lung cancer deaths, 75 liver cancer deaths and 30 bone cancer deaths had occurred. Of these 786 deaths, 239 (30%) were attributed to plutonium exposure. Significant plutonium dose-response relationships (p < 0.001) were observed for all 3 endpoints, with lung and liver cancer risks reasonably described by linear functions. At attained age 60, the ERRs per Gy for lung cancer were 7.1 for males and 15 for females; the averaged-attained age ERRs for liver cancer were 2.6 and 29 for males and females, respectively; those for bone cancer were 0.76 and 3.4. This study is the first to present and compare dose-response analyses for cancers of all 3 organs. The unique Mayak cohort with its high exposures and well characterized doses has allowed quantification of the plutonium dose-response for lung, liver and bone cancer risks based on direct human data. These results will play an important role in plutonium risk assessment.
俄罗斯联邦马亚克核设施的工人提供了评估钚暴露致癌风险的唯一充分的人类数据。在一组最初于1948年至1972年受雇的17740名工人中,首次使用最近改进的个体器官剂量估计值,评估了肺部、肝脏和骨骼(这些器官接受钚的剂量最大)癌症的死亡风险。超额相对风险(ERR)模型用于评估风险与内部(钚)剂量、外部(主要是伽马)剂量、性别、达到年龄和吸烟情况的函数关系。截至2003年12月31日,已发生681例肺癌死亡、75例肝癌死亡和30例骨癌死亡。在这786例死亡中,239例(30%)归因于钚暴露。在所有3个终点均观察到显著的钚剂量-反应关系(p<0.001),肺癌和肝癌风险可用线性函数合理描述。在达到年龄60岁时,男性肺癌每戈瑞的ERR为7.1,女性为15;男性和女性肝癌的平均达到年龄ERR分别为2.6和29;骨癌的ERR分别为0.76和3.4。本研究首次对所有3个器官的癌症进行了剂量-反应分析并进行比较。马亚克独特的队列具有高暴露和特征明确的剂量,使得能够基于直接的人类数据对钚导致肺癌、肝癌和骨癌风险的剂量-反应进行量化。这些结果将在钚风险评估中发挥重要作用。