Keirse M J, Hanssens M
Department of Obstetrics, Gynaecology, and Reproductive Medicine, Flinders Medical Centre and Flinders University, Adelaide, Australia.
Eur J Obstet Gynecol Reprod Biol. 2000 Sep;92(1):67-74. doi: 10.1016/s0301-2115(00)00455-3.
The randomized clinical trial is the method of choice for comparing the effects of alternative care options, both in its own right and as the cornerstone of systematic reviews of the subject. Errors in such trials, therefore, have major consequences for health care. This paper provides a brief introduction to the major sources of such errors, whether they be systematic or chance errors. It addresses selection bias, due to either biased entry in or biased exclusion from the trial, bias in assessing outcomes, and biases due to contamination or co-intervention. Random errors, including type I and type II errors, are discussed along with ways in which they can be minimized. Small clinical trials, in particular, provide a major problem not only by themselves, but also if they become incorporated in systematic reviews without appropriate consideration of the phenomenon of publication bias.
随机临床试验是比较不同护理方案效果的首选方法,这不仅体现在其自身的价值上,也是对该主题进行系统评价的基石。因此,此类试验中的错误会对医疗保健产生重大影响。本文简要介绍了这些错误的主要来源,无论是系统误差还是随机误差。它讨论了因试验入选或排除有偏倚、结果评估有偏倚以及因沾染或共同干预导致的偏倚等选择偏倚。还讨论了包括I型和II型错误在内的随机误差,以及将其最小化的方法。特别是小型临床试验,不仅自身存在重大问题,而且如果在未适当考虑发表偏倚现象的情况下被纳入系统评价,也会带来问题。