Qiao Q, Tervahauta M, Nissinen A, Tuomilehto J
Department of Epidemiology and Health Promotion, National Public Health Institute, Helsinki, Finland.
Eur Heart J. 2000 Oct;21(19):1621-6. doi: 10.1053/euhj.2000.2151.
The risk of early and late death in relation to smoking and ex-smoking were studied.
A cohort of 1711 Finnish men born between 1900 and 1919 were recruited in 1959 and followed up for 35 years. Information on smoking status was collected at each of six examinations made from 1959 to 1989 using a standardized questionnaire. Vital status at the end of 1994 was collected for every man. The effect of smoking on mortality was assessed using Cox proportional hazards model. Adjusted ratios for 35-year all-cause mortality were 1.62 (95% CI 1.40-1.88) in current smokers and 1.13 (CI 0.93-1.36) in former smokers compared with non-smokers. The hazards ratios for 35-year coronary heart disease mortality were 1. 63 (CI 1.24-2.13) and 1.39 (CI 1.00-1.94), respectively. The risk for 10 year mortality was stronger than for 35 year mortality among both former and current smokers, given the same amount of cigarettes consumed. Men smoking persistently were most at risk, while those who persisted in quitting had no increased risk of death compared with non-smokers.
Smoking increases the risk of premature death in middle-aged men and giving up smoking earlier in life can prevent smoking attributable premature death.
研究吸烟及戒烟与早亡和晚亡风险的关系。
1959年招募了1711名出生于1900年至1919年的芬兰男性组成队列,并随访35年。1959年至1989年期间进行的6次检查每次都使用标准化问卷收集吸烟状况信息。收集了每名男性在1994年底的生命状态。使用Cox比例风险模型评估吸烟对死亡率的影响。与不吸烟者相比,当前吸烟者35年全因死亡率的调整比值为1.62(95%可信区间1.40 - 1.88),既往吸烟者为1.13(可信区间0.93 - 1.36)。35年冠心病死亡率的风险比分别为1.63(可信区间1.24 - 2.13)和1.39(可信区间1.00 - 1.94)。在既往吸烟者和当前吸烟者中,若吸烟量相同,10年死亡率的风险比35年死亡率的风险更强。持续吸烟的男性风险最高,而持续戒烟的男性与不吸烟者相比死亡风险并未增加。
吸烟会增加中年男性过早死亡的风险,早年戒烟可预防因吸烟导致的过早死亡。