Byass P, Berhane Y, Emmelin A, Kebede D, Andersson T, Högberg U, Wall S
Epidemiology, Department of Public Health and Clinical Medicine, Umeå University, Sweden.
Public Health. 2002 May;116(3):145-50. doi: 10.1038/sj.ph.1900837.
Longitudinal demographic surveillance systems (DSSs) in selected populations can provide important information in situations where routine health information is incomplete or absent, particularly in developing countries. The Butajira Rural Health Project is one such example, initiated in rural Ethiopia in 1987. DSSs rely on regular community-based surveillance as a means of vital event registration, among a sufficient population base to draw meaningful conclusions about rates and trends in relatively rare events such as maternal death. Enquiries into specific health problems can also then use this framework to quantify particular issues or evaluate interventions. Demographic characteristics and trends for a rural Ethiopian population over a 10-y period are presented as an illustration of the DSS approach, based on 336 000 person-years observed. Overall life expectancy at birth was 50 y. Demographic parameters generally showed modest trends towards improvement over the 10-y period. The DSS approach is useful in characterising populations at the community level over a period of time, providing important information for health planning and intervention. Methodological issues underlying this approach need further exploration and development.
在某些特定人群中,纵向人口监测系统(DSS)能够在常规健康信息不完整或缺失的情况下提供重要信息,在发展中国家尤为如此。布塔吉拉农村卫生项目就是这样一个例子,该项目于1987年在埃塞俄比亚农村启动。DSS依靠定期的社区监测作为生命事件登记的手段,在足够的人口基数中,以便对诸如孕产妇死亡等相对罕见事件的发生率和趋势得出有意义的结论。对特定健康问题的调查也可以利用这个框架来量化特定问题或评估干预措施。作为DSS方法的一个例证,本文呈现了埃塞俄比亚农村人口10年间的人口特征和趋势,基于33.6万人年的观察数据。出生时的总体预期寿命为50岁。在这10年期间,人口参数总体上呈现出适度的改善趋势。DSS方法有助于在一段时间内对社区层面的人群进行特征描述,为卫生规划和干预提供重要信息。这种方法背后的方法学问题需要进一步探索和发展。