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1960 - 1997年德国飞行员队列死亡率研究。

Cohort mortality study of German cockpit crew, 1960-1997.

作者信息

Zeeb Hajo, Blettner Maria, Hammer Gaël P, Langner Ingo

机构信息

School of Public Health, Department of Epidemiology and Medical Statistics, University Bielefeld, Germany.

出版信息

Epidemiology. 2002 Nov;13(6):693-9. doi: 10.1097/01.EDE.0000029605.69271.8E.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Cockpit crew in civil aviation are exposed to several potential health hazards, among them cosmic ionizing radiation. To assess the influence of occupational and other factors on mortality we conducted a cohort study among cockpit crew.

METHODS

All pilots and other cockpit personnel of two German airlines were traced through registries and other sources for the period 1960-1997. Standardized mortality ratios, with German population rates as the reference, were calculated. We estimated the individual radiation dose based on individual job histories and assessed dose-response trends in stratified and regression analyses.

RESULTS

We compiled a cohort of 6061 male cockpit personnel, yielding 105,037 person-years of observation. The maximum estimated individual radiation dose was 80.5 mSv. Among 255 deaths overall (standardized mortality ratio [SMR] = 0.48; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.42-0.54) there were 76 cancer deaths (SMR = 0.56; CI = 0.43 - 0.74). Most cancer and cardiovascular SMRs were reduced. A slight increase was seen for brain cancer (SMR = 1.68; CI = 0.66-3.62). Employment duration was associated with the all-cancer mortality in Poisson regression analyses. No other dose-response relation was found.

CONCLUSIONS

German cockpit crew have a low overall and cancer mortality. The role of occupational causes, and particularly cosmic radiation, appears limited.

摘要

背景

民航客机驾驶舱机组人员面临多种潜在健康危害,其中包括宇宙电离辐射。为评估职业因素及其他因素对死亡率的影响,我们对驾驶舱机组人员进行了一项队列研究。

方法

通过登记处及其他来源,对两家德国航空公司的所有飞行员及其他驾驶舱工作人员在1960年至1997年期间进行追踪。计算以德国人口死亡率为参照的标准化死亡比。我们根据个人工作经历估算个人辐射剂量,并在分层分析和回归分析中评估剂量反应趋势。

结果

我们组建了一个由6061名男性驾驶舱工作人员组成的队列,观察人年数达105,037人年。估算的个人辐射剂量最高为80.5毫希沃特。在总共255例死亡病例中(标准化死亡比[SMR]=0.48;95%置信区间[CI]=0.42 - 0.54),有76例癌症死亡(SMR = 0.56;CI = 0.43 - 0.74)。大多数癌症和心血管疾病的标准化死亡比有所降低。脑癌的标准化死亡比略有升高(SMR = 1.68;CI = 0.66 - 3.62)。在泊松回归分析中,工作时长与所有癌症死亡率相关。未发现其他剂量反应关系。

结论

德国驾驶舱机组人员的总体死亡率和癌症死亡率较低。职业因素,尤其是宇宙辐射的作用似乎有限。

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