Greenland Sander, Brumback Babette
Department of Epidemiology, UCLA School of Public Health, Department of Statistics, UCLA College of Letters and Science, 22333 Swenson Drive, Topanga, CA 90290-3434, USA.
Int J Epidemiol. 2002 Oct;31(5):1030-7. doi: 10.1093/ije/31.5.1030.
This paper provides a brief overview to four major types of causal models for health-sciences research: Graphical models (causal diagrams), potential-outcome (counterfactual) models, sufficient-component cause models, and structural-equations models. The paper focuses on the logical connections among the different types of models and on the different strengths of each approach. Graphical models can illustrate qualitative population assumptions and sources of bias not easily seen with other approaches; sufficient-component cause models can illustrate specific hypotheses about mechanisms of action; and potential-outcome and structural-equations models provide a basis for quantitative analysis of effects. The different approaches provide complementary perspectives, and can be employed together to improve causal interpretations of conventional statistical results.
图形模型(因果图)、潜在结果(反事实)模型、充分病因模型和结构方程模型。本文重点关注不同类型模型之间的逻辑联系以及每种方法的不同优势。图形模型可以说明定性的总体假设和用其他方法不易发现的偏差来源;充分病因模型可以说明关于作用机制的具体假设;潜在结果模型和结构方程模型为效应的定量分析提供了基础。不同的方法提供了互补的视角,可以一起使用以改进对传统统计结果的因果解释。