Phillips Michael R, Yang Gonghuan, Zhang Yanping, Wang Lijun, Ji Huiyu, Zhou Maigeng
Beijing Suicide Research and Prevention Center, Beijing Hui Long Guan Hospital, 100096, Beijing, People's Republic of China.
Lancet. 2002 Nov 30;360(9347):1728-36. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(02)11681-3.
Suicide is the fifth most important cause of death in China, but the reasons for the high rate and unique pattern of characteristics of those who kill themselves are unknown.
We pretested, and then administered a comprehensive interview to family members and close associates of 519 people who committed suicide and of 536 people who died from other injuries (controls) randomly selected from 23 geographically representative sites in China.
After adjustment for sex, age, location of residence, and research site, eight significant predictors of suicide remained in the final unconditional logistic regression model. In order of importance they were: high depression symptom score, previous suicide attempt, acute stress at time of death, low quality of life, high chronic stress, severe interpersonal conflict in the 2 days before death, a blood relative with previous suicidal behaviour, and a friend or associate with previous suicidal behaviour. Suicide risk increased substantially with exposure to multiple risk factors: none of the 265 deceased people who were exposed to one or fewer of the eight risk factors died by suicide, but 30% (90/299) with two or three risk factors, 85% (320/377) with four or five risk factors, and 96% (109/114) with six or more risk factors died by suicide.
Despite substantial differences between characteristics of people who commit suicide in China and the west, risk factors for suicide do not differ greatly. Suicide prevention programmes that concentrate on a single risk factor are unlikely to reduce suicide rates substantially; preventive efforts should focus on individuals exposed to multiple risk factors.
自杀是中国第五大重要死因,但自杀率居高不下以及自杀者独特的特征模式背后的原因尚不清楚。
我们先进行了预测试,然后对从中国23个具有地理代表性的地点随机选取的519名自杀者以及536名死于其他伤害的人(对照组)的家庭成员和亲密 associates 进行了全面访谈。
在对性别、年龄、居住地点和研究地点进行调整后,最终的无条件逻辑回归模型中仍保留了八个自杀的显著预测因素。按重要性排序依次为:抑郁症状评分高、既往自杀未遂、死亡时的急性应激、生活质量低、长期慢性应激高、死亡前2天内严重人际冲突、有自杀行为的血亲以及有自杀行为的朋友或 associates。自杀风险会随着暴露于多种风险因素而大幅增加:在暴露于八个风险因素中的一个或更少的265名死者中,无人自杀身亡,但有两个或三个风险因素的死者中有30%(90/299)自杀,有四个或五个风险因素的死者中有85%(320/377)自杀,有六个或更多风险因素的死者中有96%(109/114)自杀。
尽管中国自杀者与西方自杀者的特征存在很大差异,但自杀风险因素并无太大不同。专注于单一风险因素的自杀预防项目不太可能大幅降低自杀率;预防工作应聚焦于暴露于多种风险因素的个体。